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3183658	有图 <p>Topline<p>Donald Trump has deepened his ties with Chinese billionaire Justin Sun—who’s fighting civil charges in the United States of fraud and market manipulation—as the president’s stablecoin begins minting on Sun’s blockchain, which hosted the largest share of illicit crypto activity last year, according to a crypto intelligence firm.</p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>A cartoon image of President Donald Trump holding a Bitcoin token is displayed in Hong Kong in ... More December 2024. Photographer: Paul Yeung/Bloomberg</p></fbs-accordion><small>© 2024 Bloomberg Finance LP</small></p> Key Facts<p> <p> <p>Trump and his family control about 40% of World Liberty Financial, according to its website—where he’s listed as chief crypto advocate—and in April, the firm launched a stablecoin, USD1, pegged to the U.S. dollar and backed by Treasuries and cash equivalents.</p> </p> <p> <p>On June 11, Tron founder Justin Sun announced his blockchain had begun minting USD1, making the stablecoin native to his network.</p> </p> <p> <p>World Liberty Financial earns interest on its USD1 reserves, so the more USD1 minted, including by Tron, the more the president’s company stands to profit, Molly White, a crypto researcher told Forbes.</p> </p> <p> <p>In March 2023, the Securities and Exchange Commission filed civil charges against Sun and his company, alleging market manipulation and selling unregistered securities; Sun has denied the charges and the judge paused the case at the request of both parties this February to allow time to discuss a possible settlement (a move that came just weeks after Sun invested $30 million in World Liberty Financial).</p> </p> <p> <p>In 2024, Tron hosted 58% of all illicit crypto activity—the most of any blockchain and more than Ethereum and Bitcoin combined—“reflecting continued preference for blockchains that have low transaction fees, smart contracts, and popular stablecoins,” according to blockchain analytics firm TRM Labs.</p> </p> <p> <p>White House Deputy Press Secretary Anna Kelly told Forbes in a statement Trump has no conflicts of interest because his “assets are in a trust managed by his children”; a spokesperson for World Liberty Financial declined to comment; and spokespeople for Tron and the Trump Organization did not respond to inquiries.</p> </p>Key Background<p>Trump can earn income from his businesses while in office through the Donald J. Trump Revocable Trust, the same structure he used during his first term. He is its sole donor and beneficiary, while Donald Trump Jr. serves as the trustee. The Trump Organization confirmed in an April regulatory filing in the United Kingdom that Trump retains control over his businesses. As president, he has pledged to make the United States the “crypto capital of the world,” aligning with his expanding investments in digital assets. Sun, who has now invested a total of at $75 million in World Liberty Financial, has become an advisor to the company. In May, he toured the White House and dined with Trump at his D.C.-area golf club for being one of the top holders of the president’s meme coin, a separate crypto venture, according to social media posts.</p>Big Number<p>$57.4 million: Trump’s income from World Liberty Financial in 2024, which only launched in September, according to a financial disclosure he released Friday.</p>Chief Critic<p>“We"ve seen increased criminal use of stablecoins on the Tron blockchain, and I think the launch highlights how little is known about USD1 and World Liberty Financial"s ability to thwart criminal activity,” White told Forbes. “There is very little transparency into how the project intends to grapple with this persistent problem, and whether they have the capacity to do so responsibly.”</p><p></p>Contra<p>While TRM Labs found “the largest percentage of illicit crypto activity occurred on the TRON blockchain” in 2024, Tron also “saw the most significant decline in illicit volume, dropping by $6 billion and halving its proportion of illicit volume.” TRM Labs credited the decline to Tron’s efforts to root out abuse, including collaborating with, yes, TRM Labs to establish what it calls the “first-ever private-sector financial crime unit.”</p>Crucial Quote<p>“The first USD1 minted on Tron—just the beginning of something much bigger,” World Liberty Financial’s X account posted in response to Sun’s announcement. “Appreciate the support, @justinsuntron. Let’s bring USD1 everywhere.”</p>Surprising Fact<p>In addition to Tron, two other crypto firms that announced relationships with World Liberty Financial in the past month also have faced scrutiny from U.S. authorities. In May, USD1 started trading on KuCoin, an exchange recently banned from the United States after admitting to anti-money laundering violations and agreeing to pay $300 million in penalties. It also launched on Binance, which admitted in a November 2023 plea deal with the Justice Department to anti-money laundering and sanctions violations, agreeing to pay $4 billion in penalties. (Days after USD1 launched on BInance, the SEC dropped a lawsuit it had brought against the firm.)</p>News Peg<p>Tron is going public through a reverse merger with a toy manufacturer, SRM Entertainment, the companies announced on Monday. As part of the deal, SRM will raise $100 million to buy Tron tokens and issue $210 million in shares and warrants. SRM Entertainment will change its name to Tron Inc. and Sun will become an advisor. Sun shared a post claiming Eric Trump was expected to join the company, though Trump denied it, calling Sun a “great friend” but saying the report was “inaccurate.”</p>Tangent<p>The Tron-SRM merger was brokered by Dominari Securities, whose parent company—Dominari Holdings—is partially owned by Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump. The brothers each hold more than 5% of the firm, largely in exchange for serving 10 weeks on an previously somewhat dormant advisory board that also includes three other Trump Organization executive vice presidents. Dominari Holdings CEO Anthony Hayes praised the advisory board’s work in a letter to shareholders.</p>What To Watch For<p>On Tuesday, the Senate passed the Genius Act, a crypto industry-backed bill that would create new rules for stablecoins like USD1. In response to Trump’s crypto ventures, Sen. Jeff Merkley, D-Ore., introduced the End Crypto Corruption Act, which would ban presidents and other top officials from “issuing, endorsing or sponsoring crypto assets.” The bill is pending and has 24 co-sponsors.</p>Forbes Valuation<p>Forbes estimates Trump’s net worth at about $5.2 billion, with crypto now accounting for most of his wealth. Sun is worth around $8.5 billion.</p>Further Viewing<p><fbs-embedly iframe-src="https://embedly.forbes.com/widgets/media.html?src=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fembed%2FUn_4EPsDmzA%3Ffeature%3Doembed&display_name=YouTube&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3Fv%3DUn_4EPsDmzA&image=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FUn_4EPsDmzA%2Fhqdefault.jpg&type=text%2Fhtml&schema=youtube"></fbs-embedly></p> Further Reading<p>Trump Org Applies For Sweeping Trademark Covering Items From Crypto Wallet To Virtual Cologne (Forbes)</p><p>Trump Media’s $2.5 Billion Bitcoin Bet Mirrors White House Crypto Strategy (Forbes)</p><p>Trump Media Executives Launch New SPAC Seeking $179 Million—And Target Crypto, Defense Sectors (Forbes)</p><p>How Trump’s Sons Cashed In On Their Father’s Comeback (Forbes)</p><p>Trump Secretly Sold Stake In Crypto Venture, Document Suggests (Forbes)</p><p>‘Trump Mobile’ Cell Phone Service Announced In Latest Presidency Monetization Push (Forbes)</p> Trump’s Stablecoin Now Minted On Justin Sun’s Tron Crypto Blockchain	查看 7655	福布斯	2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:24:51	word
3183657	无图 Topline<p>Google AI Overview and AI Mode could further slash online media revenue. Will Reddit capitalize on its user-generated content to defy this trend?</p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>The Google AI logo appears on a smartphone screen in this illustration photo in Reno, United States, ... More on December 18, 2024. (Photo Illustration by Jaque Silva/NurPhoto via Getty Images)</p></fbs-accordion><small>NurPhoto via Getty Images</small> Key Facts<p> <p> <p>AI chatbots are replacing Google search, which is devastating some online publishers’ traffic.</p> </p> <p> <p>Online publishers are cutting staff as they struggle to find new sources of revenue.</p> </p> <p> <p>Reddit’s licensing of its content to train Google’s language models and selling ads aimed at user-generated content may offset lower click-through rates.</p> </p><p>The news business — which has suffered disruption for decades — is poised for more trouble ahead. That’s because more people are using AI chatbots to find information — which is cutting into the traffic Google searches feed to online content providers, according to the Wall Street Journal.</p><p>To compete with AI chatbots, Google provides AI summaries, which give users the answers they seek without clicking on the link to the information’s source.</p><p>In so doing, the content creators are getting much less traffic. Organic search traffic to Business Insider and related websites fell by 55% between April 2022 and April 2025, according to data from Similarweb featured in a Journal report.</p><p>As a result, news outlets’ revenue is declining and some are cutting people to keep from burning through too much cash.</p><p>For instance, Business Insider cut 21% of its staff in May, noted the Journal. "Traffic sensitivity" and the need to adapt to a changing media landscape are key reasons for the cuts, Business Insider CEO Barbara Peng wrote in a company memo obtained by AdWeek.</p><p></p><p>On the surface, Reddit appears to be a beneficiary of the rise in Google’s AI summaries. However, analysts appear divided on whether the fees Reddit receives from Google and advertisers will be sufficient to boost its stock, reported Investor"s Business Daily.</p><p>Reddit is optimistic about the future. “Ever-shifting macro environments like these create both challenges and opportunities,” Reddit CEO Steve Huffman said in a May letter to shareholders featured by CNBC. “We’re well-positioned to meet this moment.”</p>Google’s New Ai Tools Spell Bad News For Content Providers<p>The news industry’s business model has been under attack for decades. The rise of AI chatbots threaten to deliver a fatal blow.</p><p>Until the internet came along in the 1990s and made news available online in exchange for watching display advertising, local newspapers were a highly profitable duopoly, according to Warren Buffett and his Newspaper Investments, a business school case I co-authored.</p><p>Since then, in March 2020, Buffett shed most of those formerly prized local newspapers, according to the Nebraska Examiner. A few months later, I published Goliath Strikes Back: How Traditional Retailers Are Winning Back Customers From Ecommerce Startups.</p><p>In addition to examining the disruption of five other industries and how established companies responded, the book highlights how various internet companies — most notably Google — profited from winning the ad revenues formerly enjoyed by local newspapers. Here’s a quick summary:</p> Craigslist took away local newspapers’ personal ads and other advertising revenue. Monster.com and other online sites substituted for newspapers’ job listing ad revenue. Online content providers linked to search engines — such as Yahoo! and Google — and gave away online news content for free in exchange for a cut of ad revenue. Google ultimately created keyword advertising called AdWords along with a platform to enable advertisers to bid on those pay-per-click ads to access users’ attention — creating a huge, profitable business. Finally, social media and video apps have rapidly grown in recent years and have recently taken over from television as Americans’ most-used source for news, according to Oxford’s Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism’s 2025 Digital News Report released June 16.<p>Since the digital disruption began decades ago, online content providers and local newspapers have changed their strategies — many have sold themselves to private equity firms and publishers.</p><p>These online content providers have struggled to keep up with changes in how their product shows up in Google’s search results. In the last year, generative AI has taken a fresh bite out of online content revenue streams.</p><p>In the last year, Google’s AI Overviews — which search the most relevant documents related to a user search and return a summary of the content — have appeared more frequently when I conduct searches. While AI overviews include links to the sources, more users may be choosing not to click on them.</p><p>The result is plunging online content traffic. Since 2022, traffic from organic search to “HuffPost’s desktop and mobile websites fell by just over half,” noted the Journal and by “nearly that much at the Washington Post,” according to Similarweb data featured by the Journal.</p><p>A more serious threat to online content is on the horizon — Google’s AI Mode which responds to user queries “in a chatbot-style conversation, with far fewer links,” the Journal reported. While currently optional, Google says AI Mode is here to stay. "This is the future of Google Search," Google"s head of Search, Liz Reid, said according to the BBC.</p><p>Online content business leaders are not taking this threat lying down. “Google is shifting from being a search engine to an answer engine,” Atlantic CEO Nicholas Thompson said in a Journal interview. In response to the likelihood Google search traffic will evaporate, “We have to develop new strategies,” Thompson added.</p><p>AI Overviews cut the traffic volume Google sends to websites by between 30% and 70%, BBC reported. What’s more, analyses have also found that Thompson’s “zero click” scenario is not far-fetched because “some 60% of Google searches are now ending without the user visiting a single link,” wrote the BBC.</p><p>To be fair, AI Overviews have boosted impressions 49% across the web, according to the data analysis firm BrightEdge featured in the BBC’s report. However, since people get their answers from the AI, clicks on the links have fallen 30%, BBC noted.</p><p>The new strategies Thompson advocated aim to connect news sites directly with readers. Atlantic is doing that by running live conferences, offering an improved app, printing more magazines, and investing more in events. The result is a rise in subscriptions and advertising revenue, Thompson told the Journal.</p>Will Reddit Investors Benefit If Google’s Ai Mode Succeeds?<p>One possible remedy for content providers — which The Atlantic highlights — is to maintain direct access to their content consumers.</p><p>One such online content provider is Reddit — which went public in March 2024 and has since defied my then-gloomy view of its prospects about which I wrote in a February 2024 Forbes post.</p><p>Reddit shares have risen 191% since going public. Why? It helps that in May 2025, Reddit posted strong sales — Q1 revenue rose 61% to $392 million ($22 million more than the London Stock Exchange Group projection, according to CNBC) — and upbeat guidance — $34 million more than the LSEG estimate of $396 million.</p><p>Reddit benefited from recent changes to Google search and internal site improvements — such as convincing logged-out users to open accounts since “logged-in accounts are more beneficial to advertisers,” reported CNBC.</p><p>To boost ad revenue, Reddit debuted two AI-powered marketing tools to help advertisers reach users on Reddit discussion boards, noted CNBC. These include:</p> Reddit Insights — a “listening tool” which helps marketers identify and launch campaigns based on “real-time insights.” CNBC reported. Conversation Summary Add-ons — which enable brands to show “positive” user content under their ads, CNBC wrote.<p>The new tools may help advertisers to “connect meaningfully with high-intent communities around the world,” according to a company release.</p><p>Reddit faces challenges ahead — most notably macroeconomic uncertainty. “We’ve grown through challenging times before — people need connection and information just as much in uncertain times,” Reddit operating chief Jen Wong said during the company’s earnings call. While “there’s a lot of uncertainty in the market,” it has been “mostly business as usual,” Wong added.</p><p>In addition, Reddit and Google have a complex relationship — featuring good and bad news for investors. Google entered into a $60 million partnership in which the search giant pays to use Reddit content to train its AI models, reported Business Insider.</p><p>What’s more, Reddit is the second most-cited website in Google AI Overviews, following Quora, according to analytics firm Semrush data featured by BusinessInsider.</p><p>Since much of that traffic comes from logged-out users, the value to Reddit is less significant than it would be if the users logged in, according to Redburn analysts quoted by BusinessInsider, and readers are less likely to click on the Reddit links in the AI Overview.</p>Where Will Reddit Stock Go Next?<p>One analyst lowered his price target for Reddit from $168 to $115.</p><p>How so? With more than half of Reddit users logged out, Wells Fargo analyst Ken Gawrelski fears the company will not be able to beat and raise in future quarters despite its new tool aimed at boosting logged-in users, according to IBD.</p><p>Gawrelski is more pessimistic than his peers. The 23 Wall Street analysts with price targets see 25% upside if the company stock hits $147.71 — their average price target, noted TipRanks.</p> Reddit Stock Could Jump If Google AI Search Kills Online Media Traffic	查看 9983	福布斯	2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:24:51	word
3183656	无图 <p>Topline<p>The Supreme Court upheld Tennessee"s law restricting gender-affirming medical treatments for minors, dealing a blow Wednesday to transgender rights that could have consequences nationwide, as more than two dozen states have imposed similar laws.</p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>A transgender rights supporter rallies outside the U.S. Supreme Court on December 4, 2024 in ... More Washington, DC.</p></fbs-accordion><small>Getty Images</small></p> Key Facts<p> <p> <p>The Supreme Court ruled 6-3 along party lines to uphold a federal appeals court ruling that backed Tennessee’s law, which ensures the law will stay in place.</p> </p> <p> <p>The court was asked to weigh in on the legality of Tennessee’s law, which bans medication treatments that enable “a minor to identify with, or live as, a purported identity inconsistent with the minor’s sex” or treat “purported discomfort or distress from a discordance between the minor’s sex and asserted identity.”</p> </p> <p> <p>Chief Justice John Roberts wrote for the court’s majority that Tennessee’s law is not subject to a heightened level of judicial review—which would make it easier to strike down—and doesn’t unlawfully discriminate on the basis of sex, because it’s only based on a person’s age and their medical condition, in that it doesn’t allow treatments for minors who have gender dysphoria and other similar conditions.</p> </p> <p> <p>Roberts argued the law also doesn’t discriminate based on a person’s transgender status, because transgender people could still seek medical treatments like puberty blockers for other medical conditions besides gender dysphoria.</p> </p> <p> <p>The ruling upholds state bans on gender-affirming care for minors, but does not affect states where such treatments are still allowed, and does not make an overarching decision on whether or not the treatments should be outlawed—with Roberts writing the issue should be “appropriately left to the people, their elected representatives, and the democratic process.”</p> </p> <p> <p>Liberal Justices Sonia Sotomayor and Ketanji Brown Jackson dissented from the opinion—with Sotomayor writing the court was “retreating from meaningful judicial review exactly where it matters most” and “abandon[ing] transgender children and their families to political whims”—and Justice Elena Kagan also dissented, but said while she thinks the law should be subject to greater scrutiny, she doesn’t have a view on whether or not it would be upheld under a stricter legal test.</p> </p>Crucial Quote<p>“Our role is not ‘to judge the wisdom, fairness, or logic’ of the law before us … but only to ensure that it does not violate the equal protection guarantee of the Fourteenth Amendment,” Roberts wrote in his opinion for the court, noting the “case carries with it the weight of fierce scientific and policy debates about the safety, efficacy, and propriety of medical treatments in an evolving field.”</p>What To Watch For<p>The court’s ruling was focused on Tennessee’s law specifically, so while it’s likely to make it harder for other similar state laws to be struck down, it does not prevent transgender rights advocates from bringing other lawsuits in the future challenging anti-transgender policies. It also does not affect other protections for LGBTQ rights that the court has previously issued, such as its ruling in 2020 that ensured workplace protections from LGBTQ-based discrimination.</p>Chief Critic<p>The American Civil Liberties Union and Lambda Legal, which brought the case against the Tennessee law, denounced the court’s decision on Wednesday, with Chase Strangio, Co-Director of the ACLU’s LGBTQ & HIV Project, describing it as “a devastating loss for transgender people, our families, and everyone who cares about the Constitution.” The ruling “mak[es]</p><p></p> it more difficult for transgender youth to escape the danger and trauma of being denied their ability to live and thrive,” Sasha Buchert, Counsel and Director of the Nonbinary and Transgender Rights Project at Lambda Legal said in a statement, adding that “the implications [of the ruling] will reverberate for years and across the country, but it does not shake our resolve to continue fighting.”What Is Gender-Affirming Care?<p>The term “gender-affirming care” broadly refers to treatments “designed to support and affirm an individual’s gender identity,” according to the World Health Organization. Leading medical organizations in the U.S. broadly support the use of such care, including for minors, with the American Medical Association arguing “trans and non-binary gender identities are normal variations of human identity and expression, and … forgoing gender-affirming care can have tragic health consequences, both mental and physical.” The Tennessee case specifically focuses on medical treatments of providing puberty blockers or hormones, but gender-affirming care could also refer to psychological or behavioral treatments as well, like counseling or speech therapy. Hormone treatments help people physically transition genders, while puberty blockers are designed to delay the physical changes of puberty for transgender or gender non-conforming youth. The Mayo Clinic notes they are not permanent and puberty changes would resume whenever a person stops taking them. Gender-affirming care could also refer to surgical procedures used to transition a person’s gender, and those procedures are banned under Tennessee’s law. They weren’t at issue in the lawsuit, however, because evidence shows such procedures are exceedingly rare among transgender youth.</p>What Other States Does The Supreme Court’s Ruling Affect?<p>Tennessee is one of 26 states with laws in place that target gender-affirming care in some form, according to the pro-LGBTQ+ rights organization Human Rights Campaign, though some have been blocked in court. The states with such laws in place are Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, West Virginia and Wyoming. The court’s ruling Wednesday will likely ensure those laws remain in place, and that any future state or federal laws could be declared lawful.</p>Key Background<p>The Supreme Court took up the Tennessee case after a federal district court previously blocked the law, but an appeals court reversed that ruling, allowing the ban to take effect. The court’s ruling comes as transgender rights have become an increasingly fraught political issue in the wake of President Donald Trump’s inauguration, as the Trump administration has taken steps to roll back policies recognizing Americans’ chosen gender identities. The president signed executive orders barring the government from recognizing anything other than Americans’ biological sex and reinstated his transgender military ban, among other moves. The 6-3 conservative Supreme Court has a mixed record when it comes to LGBTQ+ issues in the past: The high court issued a landmark ruling in support of transgender rights in 2020, when it ruled federal workplace anti-discrimination laws protect gay and transgender employees. It has also issued multiple rulings against LGBTQ+ rights, however, such as siding with a web designer in 2023 who refused to create websites for same-sex weddings and letting Trump’s renewed ban on transgender Americans serving in the military take effect in May. The transgender healthcare suit was one of several LGBTQ+-rights focused cases the court took up this term, along with a case regarding whether parents should be allowed to opt their children out of school instruction on sexual orientation and gender identity. The court also announced it will hear a case next term regarding the legality of state bans against “conversion therapy” that seeks to change minors’ sexual orientation.</p>Further ReadingForbesSupreme Court Suggests It Will Uphold Transgender Healthcare Ban—What To Know<small>By Alison Durkee</small> Supreme Court Upholds Ban On Gender-Affirming Care For Minors	查看 8086	福布斯	2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:24:51	word
3183655	无图 <p>Topline<p>A federal judge has ordered the State Department to revert to the policy in place before President Trump retook office, allowing U.S. citizens to self-select a gender designation that includes “X”—instead of either male or female—on their passport applications.</p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>U.S. passport applications included "X" as an option from April 2022 until President Trump banned it ... More through executive order on the first day of his second term.</p></fbs-accordion><small>getty</small></p> Key Facts<p> <p> <p>On Tuesday, a federal judge in Boston blocked the Trump administration from limiting passport sex markers to “male” and “female,” saying the State Department’s policy “likely violates the constitutional rights of thousands of Americans.”</p> </p> <p> <p>Since President Donald Trump signed an executive order in January declaring the government would only recognize “two sexes, male and female,” the U.S. State Department stopped issuing U.S. passports and Consular Reports of Birth Abroad (CRBAs) with an X marker and has only issued passports with markers that “match the customer’s biological sex at birth.”</p> </p> <p> <p>Trump’s executive order reversed a decision taken by the Biden administration in April 2022 to make an "X gender" marker available for U.S. passports.U.S. passports issued with the X marker between 2022 and 2025 remain valid until their expiration date, according to the State Department website.</p> </p> <p> <p>The ruling broadens a previous injunction from Kobick that applied to six people, and now includes all transgender or non-binary people who don’t have a valid passport, those whose passport is expiring within one year, and those who need to reapply for a passport because theirs was lost or stolen or because they need to change their name or sex designation.</p> </p> <p> <p>The State Department did not respond to questions regarding a timetable for when U.S. passport applications would again include X as an option.</p> </p>Which Common Types Of Id In The U.s. Offer The X Gender Marker?<p>The U.S. issued its first passport with an X gender marker in October 2021 to a military veteran who is intersex, joining more than 10 countries that offered a third gender option on passports. Between April 2022 and January 2025, thousands of U.S. passports were issued with the X sex marker—and those remained valid even after Trump issued the executive order. In addition, 22 states and the District of Columbia include the X marker as an option for residents applying for driver’s licenses. Of the remaining 28 states, there are varying degrees of difficulty built into the process of changing the gender marker on a driver’s license. For example, 10 states require proof of surgery, court order or amended birth certificate. Only four states—Florida, Kansas, Tennessee and Texas—do not offer any process for updating the gender marker on driver"s licenses, according to data from the Movement Advancement Project. In addition, 17 U.S. states allow individuals to update the gender marker on birth certificates, indicating a non-binary or gender-neutral option.</p>How Have Other Countries Responded To Trump’s “two Sexes” Passport Policy?<p>Many countries include the gender-neutral marker as an option on passports. The International Civil Aviation Organization, which sets the standards for machine-readable passports, provides three options: female, male or X (for unspecified). European countries that offer all three include Austria, Denmark, Germany, Iceland, Ireland, Malta and The Netherlands. In North America, Canada and Mexico offer option X to passport holders. Other countries around the world that provide the gender-neutral sex marker include Argentina, Australia, Colombia, India, Nepal, New Zealand and Pakistan. Earlier this year, several European countries and Canada alerted their citizens about tightened restrictions for travelers entering the United States, warning that travelers who have changed sex or identified themselves as non-binary with an X on their passports could face detention or expulsion under the White House"s policy of recognizing only two sexes.</p>Big Number<p>1.3 million. That’s how many adults in the U.S. identify as transgender or gender nonconforming, according to a brief published in January from the Williams Institute, a think tank at UCLA Law School that researches sexual orientation and gender identity.</p><p></p>What We Don’t Know<p>Judge Kobick’s ruling goes into effect “immediately,” but it’s unclear how quickly the State Department will comply. The Trump administration will likely appeal to the U.S. Court of Appeals and the case may ultimately be decided by the United States Supreme Court.</p>Crucial Quote<p>“We encourage all class members impacted by this policy to take advantage of this injunctive relief and we will do everything we can to block this policy permanently,” Li Nowlin-Sohl, a staff attorney at the American Civil Liberties Union representing the plaintiffs, said in a statement.</p>Further Reading<p>Trans Actress Hunter Schafer Says Her Passport Now Lists Her Sex As Male After Trump Executive Order (Forbes)</p> Judge Tells Rubio U.S. Passports Must Allow Gender-Neutral 'X' Option	查看 5187	福布斯	2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:24:51	word
3183654	无图 <p>Topline<p>A growing coalition of Republicans are speaking out against U.S. involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict, indicating they could break with President Donald Trump if he decides to strike Iran.</p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>President Donald Trump speaks to the press as workers install a large flag pole on the South Lawn of ... More the White House in Washington, DC on June 18, 2025. (Photo by BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP via Getty Images)</p></fbs-accordion><small>AFP via Getty Images</small></p> Key Facts<p> <p> <p>The issue has divided his Republican allies, with war hawks such as Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., a close confidant to Trump on military matters, suggesting the U.S. should do whatever it takes to stop Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon, while self-described “America First” Republicans, such as Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, R-Ga., have openly opposed the idea.</p> </p> <p> <p>Greene derided Republicans who she said are “slobbering for the U.s. to become fully involved” in the conflict in a post on X, writing that “everyone is finding out who are the real America First/MAGA and were fake,” warning that entering the war could be expensive and deadly.</p> </p> <p> <p>Former Fox News host Tucker Carlson, who is also against U.S. intervention, clashed with Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, in an interview posted Tuesday in which Carlson accused Cruz of not knowing enough about Iran to want the U.S. to become involved in the conflict, after Cruz told Fox News on Sunday “it is very much in the interest of America to see regime change in Iran.”</p> </p> <p> <p>Trump ally Steve Bannon also told reporters Wednesday “the Israelis have to finish what they started” and that Trump “should take time to think this through with his advisers,” after saying last week on his podcast “we cannot be dragged into” a war “in the Middle East or in Eastern Europe.”</p> </p> <p> <p>Right-wing podcaster Charlie Kirk predicted last week the conflict would cause “a major schism in the MAGA online community” and said “the emails are so largely overwhelmingly against Israel doing this, I’d say it’s probably 99 to one.”</p> </p> <p> <p>Trump told reporters Wednesday “we’re not looking for a long-term war . . . I only want one thing—Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon, that’s it,” appearing to respond to concerns from some of his Republican allies that U.S. military involvement could start a years-long war.</p> </p>Crucial Quote<p>Trump suggested Wednesday the GOP resistance wouldn’t affect his decision: “I may have some people that are a little bit unhappy now, but I have some people that are very happy . . . very simply, Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon.”</p>Contra<p>Graham has insisted most Republicans side with Trump, telling The New York Times “the overwhelming majority of Republicans back Israel’s use of military force to neuter the Iranian nuclear threat.”</p>Big Number<p>53%. That’s the share of 2024 Trump voters polled by the Economist/YouGov who said the U.S. military should not get involved in the conflict.</p>Key Background<p>Trump refused to say Wednesday whether he’s leaning toward becoming involved in the conflict, telling reporters “I may do it, I may not,” when asked if he would strike Iran’s nuclear facilities. Trump’s rhetoric toward Iran has become increasingly threatening in recent days, as Israel has claimed Tehran has launched hundreds of missiles and drones since Friday. On Tuesday, Trump warned that he knew where Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was hiding, and that he wouldn’t accept anything less than “unconditional surrender” from Tehran. Iran, in turn, has pushed back against Trump’s threats with its own fiery rhetoric, warning that if the U.S. becomes involved in the war, it is prepared to launch counterattacks on U.S. military bases.</p><p></p>Tangent<p>Trump previously insisted Israel should hold off on striking Iran while the U.S. negotiated a nuclear deal, but has since sided with Israel after it launched the surprise attacks last week, accusing Iran of failing to accept a deal in a timely manner.</p>Further Reading<p>Iran Calls Trump Claim They Reached Out ‘Despicable’ (Forbes)</p> Trump Allies Tucker Carlson, MTG And Steve Bannon Pushing Back Against His Suggestions He Might Attack Iran	查看 4188	福布斯	2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:24:51	word
3183653	无图 <p>Topline<p>The Federal Reserve indicated Wednesday it won’t bend to President Donald Trump’s aggressive push for interest rate cuts, though the central bank did reveal how the top U.S. monetary policymakers are approaching the U.S. economy as tariffs play out.</p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will take center stage again this week.</p></fbs-accordion><small>Getty Images</small></p> Key Facts<p> <p> <p>In his latest attack on the Fed and its top-ranking official Jerome Powell, Trump derided Powell as a “stupid person” because he “probably won’t cut today.”</p> </p> <p> <p>The Federal Open Market Committee, the 12-person panel that most crucially sets the target federal funds rate baseline for borrowing throughout the U.S. economy, confirmed Wednesday afternoon it opted to keep rates at the 4.25% to 4.5% range they’ve stood since December.</p> </p> <p> <p>That was widely anticipated by Wall Street — CME Group’s FedWatch Tool indicated markets priced in just 0.1% odds of a cut this week – despite Trump’s repeated demands for the Fed to slash rates by a full percentage point.</p> </p> <p> <p>Perhaps most crucial in the Fed’s update was the release of its quarterly summary of economic projections, or dot plot, revealing where the central bank expects the U.S. economy to head this year.</p> </p> <p> <p>Fed staff upped their median December 2025 forecast for the unemployment and core inflation rates to 4.5% and 3.1%, respectively, both of which would be multiyear highs, and decreased its fourth-quarter real gross domestic product growth forecast from 1.7% to 1.4%.</p> </p> <p> <p>Despite the bearish forecast, there was a glimmer of hope for bullish observers, as the Fed maintained its projection of two 25 basis-point rate cuts this year.</p> </p>Why Won’t The Fed Lower Rates?<p>Recent economic data seems to satisfy the normal rate cut preconditions of steady inflation and a weakening labor market, but the Fed has been hesitant to take action as it normally may, citing the uncertain impact of Trump’s tariffs. “Remember how much uncertainty we face,” Powell explained at a press conference following the FOMC decision, pointing to the unknown effects of oft-shifting tariffs and the potential for noticeably higher consumer prices, adding the economy is “solid” and not in need of an immediate jolt. “Ultimately, the cost of the tariff has to be paid, and some of it will fall on the end consumer,” added Powell.</p>Crucial Quote<p>“The size of the tariff effects, their duration and the time it will take are all highly uncertain, so that is why we think the appropriate thing to do is to hold where we are so we can learn more,” said Powell.</p>Stocks Cling To Gains After Fed Hold<p>Major U.S. stock indexes held onto slim advances Wednesday after the monetary policy update, as the blue chip Dow Jones Industrial Average was up about 80 points, or 0.2%, by late afternoon.</p>Powell Gets Fiery Over Trump Pressure<p>Pushed by a reporter on whether he would stay at the Fed beyond next year, Powell retorted “I’m not thinking about that.” Wednesday marked the latest in a long string of attacks on Powell. The monetary policy chief has been among the most frequent targets of Trump’s ire during the first five months of his second presidential term. Trump has repeatedly gone after the central banker as the Fed declines to cut rates to Trump’s liking. Trump called Powell a “numbskull” last week, and has frequently teased the possibility of firing Powell before his term expires next May.</p><p></p>Further ReadingForbesTrump Calls Fed Chair Powell A ‘Numbskull’ In Latest Attack Over Interest Rate Cuts<small>By Derek Saul</small> ForbesInflation Was Still Mild In May On Quiet Tariff Price Impact<small>By Derek Saul</small> The Fed Opts Not To Cut Interest Rates Again—Even As Trump Ups Attacks On Fed Boss Powell	查看 3803	福布斯	2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:24:51	word
3183652	无图 <p>Topline<p>Support for LGBTQ+ callers to the national suicide prevention hotline will end next month, the Trump administration confirmed Wednesday, ending a counseling service first introduced in legislation during President Donald Trump’s first term.</p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>The suicide prevention hotline will “no longer silo” its services and will instead “focus on serving ... More all help seekers,” officials said.</p></fbs-accordion><small>Gado via Getty Images</small></p> Key Facts<p> <p> <p>The Trevor Project, a nonprofit that provided support to LGBTQ+ callers in a partnership with the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration, said Wednesday the Trump administration ordered the specialized line to be closed by July 17.</p> </p> <p> <p>SAMHSA confirmed the order and referred Forbes to a statement, indicating the specialized support was closed to “no longer silo” the hotline’s services and to “focus on serving all help seekers.”</p> </p> <p> <p>The National Suicide Prevention Lifeline’s number became 988 under legislation signed by Trump in 2020, though the bill also required the hotline to provide LGBTQ+ youth and young adults with “specially trained staff and partner organizations,” citing increased suicide ideation among LGBTQ+ youth.</p> </p> <p> <p>A spokesperson for the Department of Health and Human Services told the New York Times that direct congressional funding for the LGBTQ+ service was depleted, and additional funding would jeopardize the entire hotline.</p> </p> <p> <p>The Department of Health and Human Services’ proposed 2026 budget included $520 million in funds for 988, but it also ended government funding for LGBTQ+ counseling.</p> </p>Big Number<p>$50 million. That’s how much the National Suicide Prevention Lifeline’s LGBTQ+ service previously received in federal funding, according to the Trevor Project.</p>Crucial Quote<p>“This is devastating, to say the least,” Jaymes Black, the Trevor Project’s CEO, said in a statement, adding, “The administration’s decision to remove a bipartisan, evidence-based service that has effectively supported a high-risk group of young people through their darkest moments is incomprehensible.”</p>Chief Critic<p>More than 100 Democratic House members signed a letter in May requesting Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to continue congressional funding for 988’s LGBTQ+ service. They cited Trump’s “shortsighted and dangerous plan” they claimed would prevent support for “a population with a higher risk of suicide” in a move that could have “lethal consequences if enacted.” Seven Senators, all Democrats, signed a similar letter to Kennedy arguing the “elimination of specialized services specifically designed for at-risk youth is irresponsible.”</p><p></p>Key Background<p>Ending a specialized service for LGBTQ+ callers to the National Suicide Prevention Lifeline comes as the Trump administration has cut funding for research on LGBTQ+ health. More than $800 million in grants from the National Institutes of Health were cut through May, the Times reported, including hundreds of studies related to LGBTQ+ health. A federal judge blocked the Trump administration’s cuts to research grants earlier this week, ruling the move “represents racial discrimination and discrimination against America’s LGBTQ community.” Trump has issued several executive orders targeting transgender people, including orders declaring the U.S. would recognize male and female as the only sexes, prohibiting enlistment in the military and barring trans girls and women from competing on female sports teams.</p>Further ReadingForbesSupreme Court Upholds Ban On Gender-Affirming Care For Minors<small>By Alison Durkee</small>ForbesPrisons Must Provide Gender-Affirming Care For Transgender Inmates, Judge Rules—Blocking Trump Order<small>By Ty Roush</small> Trump Cuts LGBTQ+ Support Service From Suicide Hotline	查看 3885	福布斯	2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:24:51	word
3183651	无图 <p>Topline<p>Yeztugo, a twice-a-year antiviral shot to prevent HIV, was approved by the Food and Drug Administration on Wednesday, marking a major advance in battling AIDS.</p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>Yeztugo was approved by the FDA Wednesday. </p></fbs-accordion><small>(Photo Illustration by Pavlo Gonchar/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images</small></p> Key Facts<p> <p> <p>The drug (which has the generic name lenacapavir) will become available in the U.S. following the approval, though it’s unclear who will initially have access to the drug.</p> </p> <p> <p>Gilead Sciences CEO Daniel O’Day said in a statement the approval could help make the goal of ending HIV “a reality,” saying the injectable “offers a very real opportunity to help end the HIV epidemic.”</p> </p> <p> <p>Yeztugo has an annual list price of $28,218 before insurance, a figure similar to prices of other branded medications approved for the same use, according to CNBC.</p> </p> <p> <p>Gilead’s stock spiked following the approval, though it quickly dropped back down to roughly flat on the day—in line with broader market movements.</p> </p> <p> <p>The approval comes after two clinical Yeztugo trials showed the drug could nearly prevent all HIV infections, with zero infections among 2,134 participants in one trial and two infections among 2,179 participants in another trial.</p> </p> <p> <p>Yeztugo is Gilead’s latest pre-exposure treatment for HIV prevention, as the pharma company has also produced daily oral pills (Truvada and Descovy) to reduce the risk of HIV infection.</p> </p><p>Get Forbes Breaking News Text Alerts: We’re launching text message alerts so you"ll always know the biggest stories shaping the day’s headlines. Text “Alerts” to (201) 335-0739 or sign up here.</p>Tangent<p>Gilead’s stock has nearly doubled in the past year, trading around $63 per share one year ago. The pharmaceutical company has benefited from strong earnings and sales of its HIV drugs , exceeding Wall Street expectations with a 6% year-over-year revenue increase reported in its final quarter of 2024.</p>Big Number<p>1.2 million. That is the number of people in the U.S. estimated to have HIV in 2022, with around 31,800 people contracting the virus that year, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.</p><p></p>Key Background<p>HIV, which stands for human immunodeficiency virus, targets the body’s immune system and can lead to AIDS (acquired immunodeficiency syndrome) without treatment. HIV has no cure, but advancements in treatments allow those with HIV to live long lives. Meanwhile, pre-exposure treatments made by companies like Gilead have proven effective in preventing transmission of the virus. However, staffing and funding cuts by President Donald Trump against the CDC have impacted HIV research and prevention efforts, NBC News reported, noting cuts have impacted surveillance of HIV among gay men, a demographic disproportionately affected by HIV.</p>Further Reading<p>Trump administration axes more than $125M in LGBTQ health funding, upending research field (NBC News)</p> FDA Greenlights HIV Prevention Drug Yeztugo	查看 3108	福布斯	2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:24:51	word
3183650	无图 <p>Topline<p>President Donald Trump’s approval rating was below 46% in a wave of new surveys this week, including one that found the majority of his voters don’t want the U.S. military to get involved in the Israel-Iran conflict, as Trump has repeatedly threatened this week.</p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>President Donald Trump speaks to the press before boarding Marine One on the South Lawn of the White ... More House on Friday April 25, 2025.</p></fbs-accordion><small>The Washington Post via Getty Images</small></p> Timeline<p> <p> <p>June 17-13 net approval rating: An Economist/YouGov poll found 54% of voters disapprove of Trump’s job performance, while 41% approve (the survey of 1,512 U.S. adults was conducted June 13-16 and has a 3.3-point margin of error).</p> </p> <p> <p>The survey also found Trump’s approval rating is underwater when it comes to his handling of Iran, with 37% approving and 41% disapproving, while 60% of respondents, including 53% of 2024 Trump voters, say the U.S. should not get involved in the conflict between Israel and Iran, as Trump has repeatedly threatened U.S. military intervention.</p> </p> <p> <p>June 17-17: Trump’s net approval rating improved two points in the latest Pew Research survey taken June 2-8, compared to the group’s last poll in April, with the latest survey showing 41% approve and 58% disapprove (the survey of 5,044 U.S. adults has a 1.6-point margin of error).</p> </p> <p> <p>June 16-6: Trump’s net approval rating dipped two points in Morning Consult’s latest weekly survey of 2,207 registered U.S. voters (margin of error 2), with 46% approving and 52% disapproving of his job performance, numbers the pollster notes are on par with his ratings in April and early May, during a downward spiral that coincided with his shock tariffs.</p> </p> <p> <p>June 16-12: Trump’s approval rating remained stagnant at 42% in a Reuters/Ipsos poll taken June 11-16, compared to the groups’ May poll, but his disapproval rating increased two points, to 54%, in the latest survey of 4,258 U.S. adults (margin of error 2).</p> </p> <p> <p>June 16-4: Trump’s approval rating declined one point, from 47% to 46%, in the latest Harvard CAPS/Harris survey, compared to the groups’ poll taken last month, while 50% of respondents said they disapprove of his job performance (the online survey of 2,097 registered voters was conducted June 11-12 and has a 2.2-point margin of error).</p> </p> <p> <p>Trump’s approval rating in the Harvard CAPS/Harris poll has dropped every month since February, when he had a 52% approval rating.</p> </p> <p> <p>Trump’s approval rating for nine separate issues also declined from May to June, with less than half of voters saying they approve of each of them, with tariffs and trade policy receiving the lowest marks (41%) and immigration receiving the highest (49%).</p> </p> <p> <p>June 15-10 net approval rating: More than half, 55%, of voters said they disapprove of Trump’s job performance and 45% said they approve in an NBC survey of 19,410 U.S. adults conducted May 30-June 10 (margin of error 2.1).</p> </p> <p> <p>June 11-16: Trump’s approval rating dipped three points, to 38%, in Quinnipiac University’s latest poll conducted June 5-9 among 1,265 registered voters (margin of error 2.8), compared to its previous poll in April, when he had a 41% approval rating, while his disapproval rating dropped one point, to 54%.</p> </p> <p> <p>The survey also found more voters, 57%, have an unfavorable opinion of Musk, while 53% have an unfavorable opinion of Trump, though more than half, 53%, oppose Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” that was the source of Musk’s rant against Trump last week.</p> </p> <p> <p>June 9-10: A CBS/YouGov poll conducted June 4-6 found 45% approve of Trump’s job performance, while 55% disapprove (the poll of 2,428 U.S. adults has a, 2.4-point margin of error).</p> </p> <p> <p>In a separate, one-day YouGov survey conducted June 5, amid Trump’s feud with Musk, the majority of 3,812 U.S. adults (52%) said they side with neither Musk nor Trump, while 28% said they side with Trump, 8% said they side with Musk and 11% said they aren’t sure.</p> </p> <p> <p>June 9-4 net approval rating: Trump’s approval rating improved one point, to 47%, in Morning Consult’s weekly poll, while 51% disapprove of his job performance for the third week in a row (the survey of 1,867 registered U.S. voters has a 2-point margin of error).</p> </p> <p> <p>Trump’s feud with Musk doesn’t appear to have dented his approval ratings in the first two polls that overlapped with their public spat—though it’s unclear how Americans perceive his response to protests in Los Angeles over his aggressive deportation push, as no reliable polling has been released since the protests began over the weekend.</p> </p> <p> <p>June 4-4: For the first time in two months, less than half (49%) of U.S. adults surveyed by the Economist/YouGov disapprove of Trump’s job performance, compared to 45% who strongly or somewhat approve, representing a significant improvement from the groups’ April 19-22 poll, when Trump had a net -13 approval rating (the latest poll of 1,610 U.S. adults conducted May 30-June 2 has a 3-point margin of error).</p> </p> <p> <p>June 2-5: Trump’s approval rating dropped from 48% to 46% in this week’s Morning Consult poll compared to its previous survey, while his disapproval rating was stagnant at 51% (the May 30-June 2 poll of 2,205 registered voters has a 2-point margin of error).</p> </p> <p> <p>May 27-3: Trump’s approval rating stayed stagnant, at 48%, in Morning Consult’s weekly poll released Tuesday, while his disapproval rating increased one point, to 51%, compared to last week’s survey (the May 23-25 survey of 2,208 registered voters has a two-point margin of error).</p> </p> <p> <p>Trump had a 41% average approval rating during his first term, the lowest of any post-World War II president, though Biden was a close second with a 42% average approval rating, according to Gallup.</p> </p> <p> <p>-8: Trump’s score improved one point, from 43% to 44%, in an Economist/YouGov survey of 1,660 U.S. adults conducted May 23-26 (margin of error 3.2) that found his disapproval rating stayed stagnant, at 52%, compared to the groups’ survey last week.</p> </p> <p> <p>May 19-10: Trump’s approval rating dipped to 42% in the latest Ipsos/Reuters survey of 1,024 U.S. adults taken May 16-18 (margin of error 3), a two-point decline from the groups’ May 12-13 poll, while his disapproval rating held at 52%.</p> </p> <p> <p>The 42% approval rating matches Trump’s lowest approval rating recorded by Reuters/Ipsos during his second term.</p> </p> <p> <p>May 19-8: Trump’s approval rating, 43%, was unchanged in the Economist/YouGov poll of 1,710 U.S. adults conducted May 16-19 (margin of error 3.2) compared to the groups’ previous poll earlier this month, while his disapproval rating (51%) ticked down one point.</p> </p> <p> <p>May 19-2: Trump’s approval rating has improved two points, from 46% to 48%, and his disapproval rating has decreased two points, from 52% to 50%, in Morning Consult’s most recent poll, compared to its previous weekly survey (the most recent poll of 2,208 registered voters taken May 16-19 has a 2-point margin of error).</p> </p> <p> <p>May 19-1: Trump’s approval rating stands at 47% and his disapproval rating at 48% in a new Harvard CAPS/Harris poll that also found widespread approval of his trip to the Middle East last week, with 59% of voters supporting his efforts to have strong relations with Saudi Arabia and 59% approving of his removal of sanctions against the Syrian government (the May 14-15 survey of 1,903 registered voters has a 2.2-point margin of error).</p> </p> <p> <p>The poll found a three-point decrease in Trump’s net approval rating compared to the groups’ April survey.</p> </p> <p> <p>May 13-9: Trump’s disapproval rating remained steady at 52%, while his approval rating ticked up one point, to 43%, in the Economist/YouGov’s weekly survey of 1,786 adult citizens taken May 9-12 (margin of error 3), compared to their poll last week.</p> </p> <p> <p>May 12-6: Trump’s standing with voters in Morning Consult’s weekly poll was unchanged from last week, with 46% approving and 52% disapproving in the May 9-11 survey of 2,221 registered voters (margin of error 2).</p> </p> <p> <p>May 9-16: Trump’s approval rating ticked up two points, to 41%, while his disapproval rating decreased by two points, to 57%, in an Associated Press/NORC survey of 1,175 adults taken May 1-5 compared to the groups’ previous survey last month that found Trump with a net -20 disapproval rating (the latest poll has a margin of error of 4).</p> </p> <p> <p>May 6-6: Slightly more than half, 52%, disapprove of Trump, a rating unchanged from last week’s Morning Consult poll, while 46% approve, a one-point increase, according to the survey of 2,263 registered voters conducted May 2-4 (margin of error 2), as voters’ sentiment about his handling of the economy improved from a net -6 to net -2.</p> </p> <p> <p>May 6-10: An Economist/YouGov survey taken May 2-5 among 1,850 U.S. adults also found Trump has a 52% disapproval rating, and a 42% approval rating, marking the second week in a row Trump’s approval rating did not fall after several weeks of decline (the poll has a margin of error of 3.5).</p> </p>Surprising Fact<p>The share of registered voters who say they identify with Trump’s Make America Great Again movement has increased sharply during Trump’s second term, according to NBC polling. A total of 36% of 1,000 registered voters polled March 7-11 said they consider themselves part of the MAGA coalition, compared to a 23% average in NBC’s March polling and 27% in the network’s 2024 polls (the most recent poll has a 3.1-point margin of error).</p>Big Number<p>45%. That’s Trump’s average approval rating so far during his second term, higher than his 41% average approval rating throughout the duration of his first term, according to Gallup.</p><p></p>What Was Biden’s Approval Rating At This Point In His Term?<p>56%, according to Gallup’s June 1-18 average.</p>Key Background<p>In the fifth month of his term, Trump is dealing with Israel’s attacks on Iran and weighing whether to join the Israeli military campaign and strike Iran’s nuclear facilities. At the same time, Congress is negotiating the terms of Trump’s signature policy legislation that would enact some of his most significant campaign promises, including an extension of his 2017 tax cuts and tighter border controls, while his mass deportation push has prompted protests and numerous lawsuits. Trump’s approval rating has declined since the start of his term, coinciding with his wide-ranging “Liberation Day” tariffs he announced on April 2 against nearly all U.S. trading partners, though he has largely backed off most of the levies. Other big moments in Trump’s presidency include the leak of U.S. military attack plans to Atlantic editor-in-chief Jeffrey Goldberg and his efforts to slash the federal workforce with the help of the Elon Musk-led Department of Government Efficiency. He’s hosted several world leaders for explosive Oval Office sit downs, including South African President Cyril Ramaphosa, who Trump argued with over false claims that white farmers in the country were victims of a genocide, and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February. Trump and Vice President JD Vance berated the Ukrainian president in front of the media.</p>Further Reading<p>Here’s Where Medicaid Cuts Stand In Trump’s Mega-Bill—As GOP Senators Want To Cut Even More (Forbes)</p><p>Trump Announces Reciprocal Tariff Rates—54% For China, 20% On EU (Forbes)</p><p>Iran Calls Trump Claim They Reached Out ‘Despicable’ (Forbes)</p> Trump Approval Rating: Near 40% In Latest Surveys	查看 11820	福布斯	2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:24:51	word
3183649	无图 <p>Topline<p>A federal appeals court Wednesday rejected President Donald Trump’s latest effort to throw out writer E. Jean Carroll’s defamation case against him, ruling against the president’s request to have the government step in for him as a party in the case—and putting Trump one step closer to having to pay out $83 million in damages.</p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>E. Jean Carroll exits the New York Federal Court a hearing with former President Donald Trump on ... More Sept. 6, 2024.</p></fbs-accordion><small>Copyright 2024 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.</small></p> Key Facts<p> <p> <p>Trump is appealing the jury verdict ordering him to pay $83 million for defaming Carroll, based on his attacks against her after she publicly accused him of sexually assaulting her in the 1990s in a Bergdorf Goodman dressing room.</p> </p> <p> <p>Trump asked the Second Circuit Court of Appeals to allow the government to swap in for him as a party in the case, alleging that since his defamatory statements were made while he was president, Carroll should be suing the government and not Trump as a private citizen.</p> </p> <p> <p>A ruling in Trump’s favor would have made it much more likely the appeals court would kill the case under the Westfall Act, which gives federal officials some immunity from legal claims brought over their acts in office.</p> </p> <p> <p>Carroll’s attorneys opposed Trump’s effort to have the government sub in for him, arguing he can’t make such a request after the case has already gone to trial and writing, “The record, the jury’s verdict, and common sense all lead here to only one conclusion – that Trump was serving himself, not the people of the United States, when he viciously defamed Carroll in 2019.”</p> </p> <p> <p>A three-judge panel at the Second Circuit denied Trump’s request, only noting the motion to substitute the U.S. government for Trump as a party in the case was denied and an opinion with the court’s full reasoning will follow.</p> </p>What To Watch For<p>The ruling comes ahead of the appeals court holding oral arguments on the Carroll case on June 24. The court will then decide whether to uphold the jury’s verdict, and the $83 million Trump was ordered to pay, or whether to either kill the case entirely or lower the amount Trump needs to pay. Trump or Carroll could then appeal the case to the Supreme Court, though it’s unclear whether justices would take up the dispute. Trump will only have to pay Carroll once the appeals process is fully complete. An appeals court has already separately rejected Trump’s appeal of Carroll’s other lawsuit against him, which resulted in him being found liable for sexual assault and defamation, with a three-judge panel upholding the jury’s verdict. The appeals court then denied Trump’s request for the full panel of judges to re-hear the case.</p>Big Number<p>$89 million. That’s approximately how much Trump now owes Carroll in the case, based on the $83 million he was initially ordered to pay and the 4.76% interest that accrues on the judgment as the appeals process plays out. Trump has already posted $91.6 million in bond in the case, which will be used to pay out the judgment, should he end up losing his appeal. The Carroll case is one of three multi-million dollar judgments the billionaire president may soon have to pay, along with the $5 million he owes in Carroll’s other lawsuit against him, and the $454 million Trump was ordered to pay in the civil fraud case against him and his company, which has now ballooned to more than $500 million with interest.</p>Key Background<p>The case at the heart of Wednesday’s ruling is one of two major verdicts against Trump regarding Carroll. The writer first sued Trump in 2019 for defamation after he attacked her for going public with her allegations against him, claiming Carroll is not “my type” and forcefully denying her allegations of assault. Carroll then brought a second lawsuit alleging both defamation and sexual assault under New York’s Adult Survivors Act. That case ended up going to trial first, resulting in a jury finding Trump liable for sexual assault and defamation—but not rape—and ordering him to pay $5 million in damages. The first defamation case then went to trial in January 2024, resulting in the jury ordering Trump to pay $83 million. The case took so long to go to trial because of the longrunning dispute over whether Trump’s defamatory comments were an official act as president, with the case bouncing around through different courts as judges kept punting on the issue of whether the case fell into the government’s scope. The Biden administration’s Department of Justice in 2023 ultimately stopped arguing that Trump’s comments were official acts, based on the ruling against him in the other Carroll case, paving the way for the lawsuit to go to trial.</p><p></p>Further ReadingForbesTrump Must Pay E. Jean Carroll $83 Million For Defamation, Jury Rules<small>By Alison Durkee</small> ForbesE. Jean Carroll’s Case Against Trump Explained<small>By Alison Durkee</small> ForbesTrump Now Owes E. Jean Carroll Over $90 Million With Interest As Appeals Court Hears First Case<small>By Alison Durkee</small> Trump E. Jean Carroll Case: Appeals Court Shuts Down Trump Effort To Kill Case	查看 5220	福布斯	2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:24:51	word
3183648	无图 <p>Topline<p>Student visa appointments suspended last month by the State Department will soon resume, according to multiple outlets, but applicants will now have their social media profiles vetted by the federal government as a part of visa processing.</p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>Secretary of State Marco Rubio. (AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein)</p></fbs-accordion><small>Copyright 2025 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.</small></p> Key Facts<p> <p> <p>Student and exchange visa applicants will have their “entire online presence” scrubbed, CNN reported, citing a cable from the State Department that noted “limited access to, or visibility of, online presence could be construed as an effort to evade or hide certain activity.”</p> </p> <p> <p>Consular officers, foreign service officers who work at U.S. embassies or consulates, will monitor for potentially hostile posts or messages concerning the U.S. and its government, according to the Associated Press.</p> </p> <p> <p>Students will be required to make their social media accounts publicly accessible and those who do not make the change for the visa vetting process may be denied.</p> </p> <p> <p>The change comes just weeks after the State Department temporarily paused visa appointments as it considered implementing the social media vetting process, Politico reported.</p> </p><p>Get Forbes Breaking News Text Alerts: We’re launching text message alerts so you"ll always know the biggest stories shaping the day’s headlines. Text “Alerts” to (201) 335-0739 or sign up here.</p>Big Number<p>About 401,000. That is how many student visas were issued by the State Department last year, a dropdown from the 446,000 issued in 2023.</p>Key Background<p>The new visa process policy is part of an increasingly strict approach the Trump administration has taken to immigration. The administration has sought to place a limit on the number of international students Harvard University can enroll, targeting the prestigious institution over allegations of antisemitism linked to pro-Palesitnian demonstrations on its campus last year. The Trump administration has frozen and pulled funding from multiple universities over the protests and revoked hundreds of visas from international students, citing national security concerns and participation in the protests. Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced last month the government would “aggressively revoke visas for Chinese students, including those with connections to the Chinese Communist Party or studying in critical fields,” announcing the move as the U.S. and China sorted out the details of a tariff and minerals deal.</p><p></p>Further Reading<p>Trump Administration Reviewing $9 Billion In Government Funding For Harvard (Forbes)</p> U.S. Will Resume Suspended Foreign Student Visas—Here’s Why	查看 2760	福布斯	2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:24:51	word
3183647	无图 <p>Topline<p>The Department of Health and Human Services is considering revising its longstanding recommendations on alcohol consumption, Reuters reported Wednesday—but research published over the past year warns that even moderate drinking can lead to health problems, including multiple types of cancer.</p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>New U.S. Dietary Guidelines might soon be issued loosening the longstanding recommendations for ... More daily alcohol use—but researchers still stress the links between alcohol and several types of cancer.</p></fbs-accordion><small>AFP via Getty Images</small></p> Key Facts<p> <p> <p>Since 1990, U.S. Dietary Guidelines, which are reviewed every five years and were last updated in 2020, have recommended men limit their drinking to no more than two drinks per day, while women should limit their consumption to one drink per day.</p> </p> <p> <p>Three unnamed sources familiar with the matter told Reuters the new guidelines, which could be released as soon as this month, would only include a statement encouraging moderation—but this could still be subject to change before the guidelines are released.</p> </p> <p> <p>Alcohol is associated with increased risk of multiple types of cancer, including mouth, throat, larynx, esophagus, liver, breast and colorectal cancers, according to the National Cancer Institute.</p> </p> <p> <p>HHS did not immediately return a request for comment from Forbes.</p> </p>Chief Critic<p>Dr. Silvia Balbo, a researcher at the University of Minnesota School of Public Health and the Masonic Cancer Center, said the proposed new guidelines would be a “missed opportunity” to help educate the public about alcohol risks. “The question I always get is, how much is it safe for us to drink?” Balbo told Forbes. “Having a guideline that in general gives you an idea, a rough idea of what it means to drink in moderation is a good start,” Balbo said. Rather than scrapping the old guidelines, she would recommend expanding the existing guidelines to include better information for consumers. “I think expanding really on what that means would have been more helpful rather than going towards a more generic and vague indication that’s not going to really help people orient themselves in what it means to drink in moderation.” Balbo also pointed to the United Kingdom’s National Health Service guidelines, which offer charts and calculators to determine exactly how many units are in different drinks.</p>Key Background<p>Former Surgeon General Vivek Murthy’s office issued an advisory report before he left office in January analyzing the risks of cancer associated with alcohol. “For certain cancers, like breast, mouth, and throat cancers, evidence shows that this risk may start to increase around one or fewer drinks per day,” the report reads, noting that relative risk of developing certain cancers increases for both men and women who consume two or more drinks per day. Balbo said evidence for a connection between heavy drinking and cancer has been known for decades, but researchers are still working to understand how these cancers develop. Balbo’s lab works to understand these mechanisms, particularly those that cause head and neck cancers, and her research was cited in the surgeon general’s report in January.According to Balbo, alcohol converts into a compound called acetaldehyde as the body metabolizes it, which then harms the cells found in the mouth, which can cause DNA damage. “If this DNA damage does not get repaired … it just persists and leads to genetic changes and genomic instability,” Balbo told Forbes in an interview.</p>Surprising Fact<p>The surgeon general’s report also notes that only 45% of Americans are aware of the cancer risks associated with alcohol. However, 89% understand the link between tobacco and cancer, 81% know about the cancer risks with asbestos, and 91% are aware of the cancer risks from radiation.</p><p></p>Contra<p>In December 2024, a review conducted by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine found there was “insufficient evidence to support an association between moderate alcohol consumption and risks of oral cavity, pharyngeal, esophageal, and laryngeal cancers.” The report did note that moderate drinking could pose a higher risk for breast cancer in women. The report has since received heavy pushback from other researchers, including the National Cancer Institute, The New York Timesreported in January.</p>Tangent<p>Studies have shown that alcohol consumption increased among most segments of the American population during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, more recent research indicates that younger millennials and Gen Z are drinking less than earlier generations. A Gallup poll published in 2023 indicated that the number of Americans between the ages of 18-34 who consume alcohol occasionally has fallen by 10 percentage points over the last 20 years. Simultaneously, younger Americans who do drink are consuming fewer drinks per week and cutting back on overdrinking, the same report found.</p>What Do Other Health Agencies Say?<p>Canada’s public health recommendations are close to America’s, recommending women drink no more than two drinks per day and men no more than three. The United Kingdom’s National Health Service recommends no more than 14 units of alcohol per week—six glasses of wine or six pints of beer spread out over three days or more. The World Health Organization takes a much stronger stance, warning there is no safe level of alcohol consumption at all and categorizing it as a Group 1 carcinogen—alongside asbestos, radiation and tobacco.</p> U.S. Might Drop Daily Alcohol Guidelines, Report Says	查看 5641	福布斯	2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:24:51	word
3183646	无图 <p>Topline<p>The Los Angeles Lakers will be sold to Los Angeles Dodgers owner Mark Walter at a $10 billion valuation, according to multiple outlets, marking the largest acquisition in sports history if the deal goes through.</p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>The agreement was reported Wednesday. (Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images)</p></fbs-accordion><small>Getty Images</small></p> Key Facts<p> <p> <p>The Buss family has agreed to sell majority ownership of the Lakers to Walter, maintaining a 15% minority share for an unknown period of time, according to ESPN.</p> </p> <p> <p>Jeanie Buss, daughter of the late Jerry Buss, who has been the Lakers’ governor and controlling owner since 2017, will remain in her role as governor, ESPN added.</p> </p> <p> <p>The sale of the Lakers could later value the team at $12 billion, The Athletic reported, citing an unnamed source familiar with the negotiations.</p> </p> <p> <p>Walter, who purchased the Dodgers in 2012 for $2.15 billion, has been a Lakers stakeholder since 2021.</p> </p>Crucial Quote<p>Lakers legend and Dodgers part-owner Magic Johnson said fans of the franchise should be “ecstatic,” lauding Walter and saying the billionaire “will put in the resources needed to win!”</p>Key Background<p>The Lakers, one of the most prolific franchises in all of sports, were purchased by Jerry Buss as part of a $67.5 million deal in 1979 that included the Los Angeles Kings and Los Angeles Forum. The Lakers have won 11 NBA championships since then, bringing its total to 17. Jeanie became the team’s controlling owner after her father’s death in 2013.</p>Forbes Valuation<p>Walter, 65, has an estimated net worth of $6.1 billion and amassed most of his wealth through investment firm Guggenheim Partners, which he helped found in the late 1990s. The investment firm purchased the Dodgers in 2012 and the team has since captured two World Series titles.</p><p></p>Further Reading<p>The Most Valuable NBA Teams 2024 (Forbes)</p> Lakers Will Be Sold To Dodgers Owner Mark Walter At $10 Billion Valuation	查看 1989	福布斯	2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:24:51	word
3183645	无图 Topline<p>The <u>Northern Lights</u> may be visible on camera close to the U.S.-Canada border as soon as it gets dark on Thursday, June 19 and into Friday, June 20, according to the <u>National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Space Weather Prediction Center</u>, with forecasts including a geomagnetic storm that could potentially be visible from 14 U.S. states.</p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>The northern lights streak through the sky over horse barn in Mercer, Maine on May 10, 2024. (Photo ... More by Michael Seamans/Getty Images)</p></fbs-accordion><small>Getty Images</small> Key Facts<p> <p> <p>NOAA is forecasting a geomagnetic storm, measured at a value of G1 on a scale of G1 to G5, beginning around 1:00 a.m. EDT on Friday, June 20, though the timing is hard to accurately predict.</p> </p> <p> <p>NOAA’s aurora viewlines have potential aurora displays possible in northern U.S. states and Canada — though in the U.S., those regions close to the Canada border will have the highest chance</p> </p> <p> <p>According to NOAA’s forecast, the Kp index — which provides a rough guide to the intensity of aurora displays — may reach 5, seeing the auroral oval stretch farther south. For a Kp in the range of 3 to 5, the aurora can be “quite pleasing to look at.” The Kp index uses a scale of 0 to 9.</p> </p> <p> <p>The geomagnetic storm on May 10, 2024, which saw aurora as far south as Florida, was rated as G5 and had Kp 9 intensity. It was the most powerful since 2003.</p> </p> <p> <p>The Northern Lights are caused by the solar wind, a stream of charged particles from the sun interacting with Earth’s magnetic field. Although the magnetic field deflects most of it, some charged particles accelerate along the magnetic field lines toward the polar regions, where they collide with oxygen and nitrogen atoms, exciting them and causing them to release energy as light.</p> </p> <p> <p>Solar activity is currently at a 23-year high due to the current solar maximum period. Geomagnetic storms and aurora are expected to continue through 2025 and 2026.</p> </p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>The aurora viewline as forecast by NOAA for overnight on June 19/20, 2025. </p></fbs-accordion><small>NOAA</small> Spike In Solar Activity Dampened By The Solstice<p>The chance of aurora comes as a result of an Earth-directed coronal mass ejection — a cloud of charged particles — leaving the sun on June 15 and 17 in the wake of solar flares, according to NOAA. The slight increase in solar activity comes as the Northern Hemisphere prepares to celebrate the summer solstice. Occurring at 9:40 p.m. EDT on Friday, June 20, the solstice sees the sun reach higher into the sky than on any other day of the year, shining directly above the Tropic of Cancer to create the longest day and shortest night. That will make any aurora-viewing window particularly narrow, with the hours just after midnight the best time to look north for a hint of aurora.</p>Where To See The Northern Lights<p>Parts of U.S. states that could potentially see aurora — possibly only on camera — according to NOAA, include Washington, northern Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, North Dakota, South Dakota, Minnesota, northern Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, New York, Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine. While Alaska is firmly within the aurora oval — and so would normally be expected to see aurora — it currently does not get dark at Alaska"s latitude. Check NOAA"s 30-minute forecast or use the Glendale App for up-to-the-minute forecasts.</p><p></p>‘fake’ Solar Eclipses Could Help Space Weather Predictions<p>Earlier this week, the European Space Agency published the first images from its groundbreaking Proba-3 mission to image the sun"s corona. This hotter layer of the sun"s outer atmosphere — typically only observable during totality in a total solar eclipse — is where space weather events come from, including solar flares and coronal mass ejections. It"s exactly those events that cause geomagnetic storms and aurora. Proba-3 is a two-year mission during which a total solar eclipse will be created for six hours in every 19.6-hour orbit. “Our ‘artificial eclipse’ images are comparable with those taken during a natural eclipse," said Andrei Zhukov, Principal Investigator for ASPIICS at the Royal Observatory of Belgium.</p>Further ReadingForbesIn Photos: First Ever ‘Fake’ Total Solar Eclipse Created In Space<small>By Jamie Carter</small> ForbesNew Pluto-Like Planet Discovered In Solar System — What To Know<small>By Jamie Carter</small> ForbesWhen To See June’s ‘Strawberry Moon,’ The Lowest Full Moon Since 2006<small>By Jamie Carter</small> Northern Lights Forecast: U.S May See Aurora Tonight After Solar Flare	查看 4631	福布斯	2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:24:51	word
3183644	有图 <p>Topline<p>SpaceX’s Starship rocket exploded into a massive fireball while it was being prepared for a flight test at its Starbase testing facility in Texas on Wednesday night, marking the latest in a series of explosions that have marred the testing of the rocket company’s most powerful launch vehicle.</p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>FILE PHOTO- SpaceX"s mega rocket Starship exploded during a test on Wednesday night.</p></fbs-accordion><small>Copyright 2024 The Associated Press. All rights reserved</small></p> Key Facts<p> <p> <p>The explosion took place around 11 p.m. CDT and was captured on SpaceX’s livestream as the Starship rocket was being prepared for a flight test.</p> </p> <p> <p>In a statement, the company said it was preparing the Starship for its tenth flight test when it “experienced a major anomaly while on a test stand.”</p> </p> <p> <p>SpaceX said the safety clear area around the rocket test site was “maintained throughout the operation and all personnel are safe and accounted for.”</p> </p> <p> <p>The company said there are “no hazards to residents in surrounding communities,” but urged locals to “not attempt to approach the area while safing operations continue.”</p> </p> <p> <p>The Cameron County Constable Precinct 1 office issued a statement on Facebook saying the explosion occurred during a “routine static fire test” and an investigation was “now underway to determine the cause of the incident.”</p> </p> <p> <p>A spokesperson for the Brownsville Fire Department told ABC affiliate KRGV-TV that firefighters have been dispatched to the site of the explosion, but the full scale of the incident was unknown to them.</p> </p><p><fbs-embedly iframe-src="https://embedly.forbes.com/widgets/media.html?src=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fembed%2FvlSrcjnAN7Q%3Ffeature%3Doembed&display_name=YouTube&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3Fv%3DvlSrcjnAN7Q&image=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FvlSrcjnAN7Q%2Fhqdefault.jpg&type=text%2Fhtml&schema=youtube"></fbs-embedly></p> What Do We Know About Previous Starship Explosions?<p>SpaceX was preparing the Starship rocket for its 10th test flight on Wednesday when it exploded. The mega rocket’s most recent three test flights, all of which have taken place in 2025, also ended in failures. The seventh test flight took place in January, during which SpaceX managed to recover its Super Heavy booster but lost communication with the Starship spacecraft. The company announced at he time that the Starship “experienced a rapid unscheduled disassembly during its ascent burn.” SpaceX later said the most likely cause of the failure was “vibrations” that were “several times stronger in flight than had been seen during testing.” The company conducted another test flight in March, but this also ended in failure as the Starship vehicle faced another “rapid unscheduled disassembly” during its ascent burn. The explosion created a large debris field, which prompted the FAA to issue a ground stop order at several airports in Florida. The ninth test launch also ended in failure as SpaceX lost contact with the spacecraft before it tumbled into Indian Ocean.</p>What Has Elon Musk Said About The Starship Explosions?<p>SpaceX’s billionaire founder and CEO, Elon Musk, has not commented on Wednesday’s explosion. However, Musk had described the Starship’s ninth test flight as a “big improvement over last flight” because the spacecraft made it to its “scheduled ship engine cutoff.” He added: “Leaks caused loss of main tank pressure during the coast and re-entry phase. Lot of good data to review.”</p><p></p>What To Watch For<p>After the ninth launch, Musk had said the launch cadence for Starship’s next three test flights will be “faster, at approximately 1 every 3 to 4 weeks.” It is unclear if Wednesday’s explosion will impact that planned schedule of launches.</p>Further Reading<p>SpaceX Loses Contact With Starship During Ninth Launch (Forbes)</p> SpaceX’s Starship Rocket Explodes During Test At Texas Facility	查看 3973	福布斯	2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:24:51	word
3183643	无图 Topline<p>The heavily armored Parker Solar Probe has traveled to within just 3.86 million miles (6.1 million kilometers) of the sun’s surface — what NASA calls “hyper close.” It’s the third and final time it has performed the feat, following similar achievements on Dec. 24, 2024, and March 22, 2025.</p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>The heavily armored Parker Solar Probe has traveled to within just 3.86 million miles (6.1 million ... More kilometers) of the sun’s surface.</p></fbs-accordion><small>Illustration of the Parker Solar Probe spacecraft approaching the sun. Credit: Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory</small> Key Facts<p> <p> <p>Parker launched on Aug. 12, 2018, and has since conducted 23 perihelions — close passes — of the sun, getting to within 3.86 million miles (6.1 million kilometers) twice before today’s repeat performnce.</p> </p> <p> <p>For scale, that’s four yards from the end zone if the distance between Earth and the sun was the length of an American football field, according to mission scientists.</p> </p> <p> <p>During this final perihelion of the mission, the probe will be traveling at around 430,000 miles per hour (690,000 kilometers per hour). According to NASA, that"s fast enough to get from Philadelphia to Washington, D.C., in a single second.</p> </p> <p> <p>Perihelion 24 also sees it forced to withstand temperatures of 1,600 to 1,700 degrees Fahrenheit (870 to 930 degrees Celsius). Its only armor against both temperature and extreme ultraviolet radiation is a carbon composite shield.</p> </p> <p> <p>Parker is in a highly elliptical orbit, which takes 88 days but allows it to occasionally swoop particularly close to the sun.</p> </p>The Mystery Of The Solar Corona<p>One of the main objectives of the mission is to understand why the sun’s corona, its outer atmosphere, is a million times hotter than the photosphere, its surface.</p><p>The corona is where the solar wind originates from, so solar physicists must understand it better if they are to forecast space weather more accurately. That’s important because the state of the solar wind — a stream of charged particles interacting with the Earth’s atmosphere — can damage satellites and harm astronauts, as well as cause Northern Lights.</p><p>The latter half of Parker"s mission has coincided with the peak of Solar Cycle 25, the current 11-year-long cycle of the sun, during which our star experiences a waxing and waning of magnetic activity.</p>Revealing Magnetic Reconnection<p>A study published on June 3 used data from Parker while flying close to the sun, reveal a new source for energetic particles in the solar corona. The mechanism, called magnetic reconnection, heats the solar atmosphere, accelerating solar wind particles. Magnetic reconnection — when magnetic field lines converge, break apart and reconnect in an explosive physical process — is responsible for powerful solar events, such as solar flares and coronal mass ejections.</p><p></p><p>“We’ve seen how magnetic reconnection behaves near Earth, but Parker has now shown how potent it is near the sun, where magnetic fields are significantly stronger,” said Dr. Mihir Desai, lead author and a scientist at the Southwest Research Institute in San Antonio, Texas.</p>Parker Solar Probe’s Uncertain Future<p>Parker isn’t going anywhere. Locked in the orbit of the sun, it will continue to loop around our star. However, it was gravity assists at Venus that gave the spacecraft enough momentum to get so close to the sun. No, it’s within the orbit of Venus, that opportunity is lost, so it won’t be able to reach any closer to the sun than it already has done.</p><p>According to Live Science, the spacecraft"s thrusters will eventually run out of fuel, and it will burn up, though its heat shield may remain in orbit for thousands of years.</p>Further ReadingForbesAsteroid Larger Than Golden Gate Bridge Approaches Earth In Rare Event<small>By Jamie Carter</small>ForbesIn Photos: Sharpest-Ever Views Of The Sun’s Surface Reveal ‘Stripes’<small>By Jamie Carter</small>ForbesIn Photos: June’s ‘Great Aurora’ Stuns Skywatchers Around The World<small>By Jamie Carter</small> NASA Spacecraft ‘Touches Sun’ For Final Time In Defining Moment For Humankind	查看 4176	福布斯	2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:24:51	word
3183642	无图 Topline<p>Summer will begin in the Northern Hemisphere on Friday, June 20, as the sun reaches its highest point of the year at midday. Known as the summer solstice, this astronomical milestone marks the longest day and shortest night of the year in the Northern Hemisphere (and the shortest day and longest night in the Southern Hemisphere).</p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>The Stonehenge Monument in Maryhill, Washington, U.S. </p></fbs-accordion><small>getty</small> Key Facts<p> <p> <p>The June solstice will occur at precisely 10:42 p.m. EDT on Friday, June 20 (Saturday, June 21 at 02:42 UTC).</p> </p> <p> <p>The 23.5-degree tilt of the Earth"s axis causes seasons. The June solstice occurs when the Earth’s axis is tilted toward the sun, meaning more sunlight for longer in the Northern Hemisphere. That causes the longest day and the shortest night.</p> </p> <p> <p>The opposite is true for the Southern Hemisphere, which on the June solstice has its shortest day and longest night.</p> </p> <p> <p>As a result of the solstice, regions close to the Arctic Circle experience the Midnight Sun, where the sun doesn’t set at all. In the Antarctic Circle, it"s the Polar Night, where the sun does not rise.</p> </p>Understanding The Tropic Of Cancer<p>On the date of the June solstice, the sun reaches a position directly over the Tropic of Cancer, a latitude line approximately 23.5 degrees north of the equator. The Tropic of Cancer runs through North America (Mexico and the Bahamas), Africa (Algeria, Western Sahara, Mauritania, Mali, Niger, Libya and Egypt), the Middle East (Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Oman) and Asia (India, Bangladesh, Myanmar, China and Taiwan).</p>The Solstice And Aphelion<p>On Thursday, July 3 — just two weeks after the June solstice — Earth will be farthest from the sun in 2025. That occurs because Earth"s orbit around the sun is slightly elliptical. At aphelion, Earth is 94.5 million miles (152 million kilometers) from the sun. Six months later, at perihelion, it will be 91.4 million miles (147 million kilometers) from the sun. That’s about a three percent difference. Aphelion emphasizes that it"s not Earth"s proximity to the sun that causes the seasons, but rather the tilt of its axis.</p>Where To Celebrate The Summer Solstice In North America<p>The most famous place to celebrate is Stonehenge in the United Kingdom, an ancient Neolithic monument thought to align with the rising sun on the date of the June solstice. English Heritage offers a YouTube livestream of the event. For something similar in North America, several Stonehenge replicas mark the solstice in various ways. In Maryhill, on the north side of the Columbia River that separates the states of Washington and Oregon, Solstice at Stonehenge will be marked with two days of celebrations at the Stonehenge Memorial Monument, which was completed in 1929 as a World War I memorial, according to the Maryhill Museum. It"s aligned to the astronomical horizon rather than the actual midsummer sunrise. Beside the Guadalupe River in Ingram, Texas, the concrete Stonehenge II is open 24 hours. The Hill Country Arts Foundation owns it. Also open from dawn to dusk is Carhenge, a quirky replica near Alliance, Nebraska, that features 39 automobiles painted to resemble stones.</p><p></p><p>In New York City, Times Square will host its annual mass yoga event, Solstice in Times Square, on June 20, while Seattle will stage its Fremont Solstice Parade on June 21.</p>Further ReadingForbesWhen To See June’s ‘Strawberry Moon,’ The Lowest Full Moon Since 2006<small>By Jamie Carter</small>ForbesAsteroid Larger Than Golden Gate Bridge Approaches Earth In Rare Event<small>By Jamie Carter</small> ForbesWhy The ‘Strawberry Moon’ Will Be Lowest Until 2043 — And How To Photograph It<small>By Jamie Carter</small> Summer Solstice 2025: What Is It And Where To See It In North America	查看 3831	福布斯	2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:24:51	word
3183641	无图 <p>Topline<p>Israeli officials on Thursday said they moving to intensify strikes on “strategic targets” in Iran, after a barrage of Iranian missiles injured dozens across the country and caused damage to a hospital building, as the conflict between the two countries continued to intensify while President Donald Trump left open the possibility the U.S. military striking Iran’s nuclear facilities.</p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>Smokes raises from a building of the Soroka hospital complex in Be"er Sheva, Israel after it was hit ... More by a missile fired from Iran.</p></fbs-accordion><small>Copyright 2025 The Associated Press All rights reserved</small></p> Timeline<p> <p> <p>June 19, 6:45 a.m. ETTom Barrack, the U.S. Ambassador to Turkey and Special Envoy for Syria, warned the Iran-backed Lebanese militant group Hezbollah against joining the Israel-Iran conflict.</p> </p> <p> <p>Hezbollah has criticized Israel’s strikes on Iran and on Thursday it warned that the assassination threats against Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei “are foolish and reckless, and will have disastrous consequences.”</p> </p> <p> <p>Barrack, who is on an official visit to Beirut, addressed the militant group’s threat, saying: “I can say on behalf of President Trump, which he has been very clear in expressing as has Special Envoy Witkoff: that would be a very, very, very bad decision.”</p> </p> <p> <p>June 19, 4 a.m. ETIranian state media claimed the main target of the missile attack which damaged a hospital in southern Israel was the “vast command and intelligence base” of the Israeli military’s C4i tech and communications unit and “the campus of their military intelligence, located in the Gav-Yam technology park.”</p> </p> <p> <p>The hospital which was struck appears to be located less than two miles away from the Gav-Yam technology park.</p> </p> <p> <p>3:30 a.m. ETIsrael’s Defense Minister Israel Katz said he and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu have ordered the country’s military to “intensify strikes against strategic targets” in Iran after the latest wave of missile attacks.</p> </p> <p> <p>Katz accused the Iranian Supreme Leader of committing the “gravest of war crimes” and said “The cowardly Iranian dictator sits in the depths of the fortified bunker and fires aimed shots at hospitals and residential buildings in Israel.”</p> </p> <p> <p>3 a.m. ETThe Soroka Medical Center, a hospital in the southern Israeli city of Be"er Sheva was struck by an Iranian missile which caused “extensive damage” but no serious injuries, according to authorities in Israel.</p> </p> <p> <p>The strike was the first time a hospital in Israel was struck by an Iranian missile since the conflict between the two countries began last week.</p> </p> <p> <p>Overall 65 people were injured across Israel in the latest barrage of missile strikes launched by Iran.</p> </p> <p> <p>June 18, 4:48 p.m. ETThe State Department is conducting the evacuations of nonessential diplomats, the Associated Press reported, noting diplomats were authorized to leave at the government’s expense Wednesday (Forbes has reached out to the State Department for comment).</p> </p> <p> <p>June 18, 2:45 p.m. ETSome embassy personnel were evacuated from Israel via U.S. military aircraft, according to CNN, which reported earlier Wednesday a full evacuation of the embassy was not ordered and diplomats and family members were not required to leave.</p> </p> <p> <p>June 18, 10:39 a.m. ETThe Iranian Mission to the U.N. said “no Iranian official has ever asked to grovel at the gates of the White House,” in a post on X responding to Trump’s claim made minutes earlier that Iran had contacted his administration, writing “the only thing more despicable than his lies is his cowardly threat to ‘take out’ Iran’s Supreme Leader.”</p> </p> <p> <p>June 18, 10:15 a.m.Trump said “You don’t seriously think I’m going to answer that question . . . I may do it, I may not do it, I mean nobody knows what I"m going to do,” when asked by a reporter at an unrelated White House event if the U.S. is moving closer to striking Iranian nuclear facilities.</p> </p> <p> <p>Trump said the Iranians have reached out to him and he told them “it"s very late to be talking . . . there"s a big difference between now and a week ago,” referring to Iran’s refusal to accept a deal with the U.S. to prevent it from developing a nuclear weapon sooner.</p> </p> <p> <p>In subsequent comments, Trump said “we’re not looking for a long-term war . . . I only want one thing: Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon,” while also elaborating on what he meant when he called for “unconditional surrender” a day earlier: “That means I’ve had it . . . I give up, no more. Then we go blow up all the nuclear stuff that’s all over the place there.”</p> </p> <p> <p>June 18, 7 a.m.According to a statement delivered via Iranian state media, the Supreme Leader said his country “stands firm against an imposed war, just as it will stand firm against an imposed peace,” adding that Iran will “not surrender to anyone in the face of imposition,” warning any U.S. involvement in the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict will undoubtedly lead to “serious irreparable harm.”</p> </p> <p> <p>The Iranian leader also addressed President Trump’s comments on Tuesday calling for Iran’s “unconditional surrender,” saying those who know his country’s history “know that Iranians do not answer well to the language of threats.”</p> </p> <p> <p>June 18, 3 a.m.Aerial attacks from both sides continued early on Wednesday as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office claimed Iran has launched more than 400 missiles and hundreds of drones since Friday.</p> </p> <p> <p>June 17, 6:30 p.m.White House officials told multiple outlets Trump spoke with Netanyahu on Tuesday after a meeting with national security advisors, though the details of the conversation have not been publicly reported.</p> </p> <p> <p>June 17, 6 p.m.Unnamed U.S. officials cited by Axios said Trump was seriously considering entering the conflict by launching strikes against Iran"s nuclear facilities.</p> </p> <p> <p>June 17, 12:19 p.m.Trump warned on Truth Social earlier Tuesday: “We know exactly where the so-called ‘Supreme Leader’ is hiding,” referring to Khamenei, who is increasingly isolated after Israel assassinated several of his top generals, adding Khamenei is “safe” and “we are not going to take him out (kill!), at least not for now,” but said “our patience is wearing thin.”</p> </p>Key Background<p>Tensions between Iran and Israel first erupted on Friday, when the Israel military carried out unilateral strikes against key nuclear facilities and killed several top Iranian generals and nuclear scientists. Netanyahu claimed Israel’s attack was an act of self defense as the Iranian nuclear program posed “a danger to Israel’s very survival.” On Monday, Trump exited the G7 summit earlier than scheduled and flew back from Canada to Washington as tensions between Iran and Israel escalated, with the White House press secretary saying he left early “because of what’s going on in the Middle East.” Shortly before leaving the summit, Trump issued an ominous warning to residents of Tehran, Iran’s capital, on Truth Social: “Simply stated, IRAN CAN NOT HAVE A NUCLEAR WEAPON…Everyone should immediately evacuate Tehran!” At the time, Trump did not specify why he called for an evacuation of the city of 10 million people, but when asked later, Trump said: “I want people to be safe…That’s always possible something could happen. I just want people to be safe.” The president spoke to reporters on board Air Force One on his return to Washington and said he wanted something better than a ceasefire “An end. A real end, not a ceasefire, an end,” and signaled that a only complete “give up” by Iran would be acceptable.</p>What Has Trump Said About Striking Iran?<p>In a earlier post Trump, said: “We now have complete and total control of the skies over Iran...Iran had good sky trackers and other defensive equipment, and plenty of it, but it doesn’t compare to American made, conceived, and manufactured stuff. Nobody does it better than the good ol’ USA.” In a third post Tuesday morning, Trump called for an “UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER!” Trump has also warned Iran against targeting U.S. personnel or assets, saying if that happens “we’ll come down so hard, it’d be gloves off...I think they know not to touch our troops.”</p><p></p>Is Trump Pushing For An Iran-Israel Cease Fire?<p>On Monday, Trump told reporters onboard Air Force One on the way back to the U.S. from the summit in Canada he wanted to see an end to Iran’s nuclear program and said he’s “not too much in the mood to negotiate now.” Trump attacked French President Emmanuel Macron on Truth Social, describing him as “publicity seeking” after he said Trump was flying out of the G7 summit early to work out a cease fire between Israel and Iran and “then kick-start broader discussions.” Trump said Macron “has no idea why I am now on my way to Washington, but it certainly has nothing to do with a Cease Fire,” and claimed it was something “Much bigger than that.” Trump departed the G7 Summit early and returned to Washington on Monday night to “attend to many important matters,” White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said.</p>What Else Do We Know About Trump’s Early Exit From The G7 Summit?<p>Shortly before he left Canada, the president told reporters Iran “want to make a deal, and as soon as I leave here, we"re going to be doing something. But I have to leave here.” Fox News reported on Monday evening that Trump had asked his national security to be present in the Situation Room when he returns to the White House.</p>What Was Mentioned In The G7 Leaders" Statement?<p>A U.S. official told reporters earlier on Monday Trump would not sign a draft statement of G7 leaders, which included a call for de-escalating the Israel-Iran conflict. The president eventually agreed to sign it after some changes were made to the statement’s “initial draft language,” according to the New York Times. The final statement notes: “We, the leaders of the G7, reiterate our commitment to peace and stability in the Middle East.” The statement affirms Israel’s “right to defend itself,” describes Iran as the “principal source of regional instability and terror,” and notes “Iran can never have a nuclear weapon.” It also calls for a resolution of the ongoing crisis and “a broader de-escalation of hostilities in the Middle East, including a cease fire in Gaza.”</p>What Has Iran Said About Potential Talks With The U.s.?<p>In a post on X, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi signaled he was open to talks resuming talks with the U.S. if Israel’s strikes on Iran were halted. “If President Trump is genuine about diplomacy and interested in stopping this war, next steps are consequential. Israel must halt its aggression, and absent a total cessation of military aggression against us, our responses will continue. It takes one phone call from Washington to muzzle someone like Netanyahu. That may pave the way for a return to diplomacy,” he wrote. The post also attacked Netanyahu, calling him a “war criminal.”</p>Further Reading<p>Lawmakers Make Bipartisan Push To Restrict Trump From Going To War With Iran (Forbes)</p><p>Iranian Missiles Cause ‘Minor Damage’ To US Embassy In Tel Aviv—Israel Targets Elite Quds Force HQ (Forbes)</p><p>Israel Attacks Iranian State TV During Live Broadcast (Forbes)</p> Israel To ‘Intensify Strikes’ After Iranian Missile Hits Hospital (Live)	查看 11521	福布斯	2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:24:51	word
3183640	无图 <p>Topline<p>President Donald Trump on Thursday issued his latest social media attacks on the media—this time against his usually favorite cable network Fox News, calling it “crooked” for its latest poll on border security, and also denying a Wall Street Journal report he privately authorized attack plans on Iran.</p><p></p><fbs-accordion><p>The president has escalated his rhetoric against the press in recent months, claiming Fox News and ... More other pollsters are “negative criminals.”</p></fbs-accordion><small>Copyright 2025 The Associated Press. All rights reserved</small></p> Key Facts<p> <p> <p>Trump, writing on Truth Social, claimed the “crooked Fox News polls got the [presidential] election WRONG” and the outlet has “been biased against me for years,” adding, “They are always always wrong and negative. It’s why MAGA HATES Fox News, even though their anchors are GREAT.”</p> </p> <p> <p>He targeted a poll released by Fox News on Wednesday, which found 53% of respondents approved of Trump’s handling of border security, while 53% disapproved of his moves on immigration, with other unfavorable ratings for the economy (40-58%) and inflation (34-64%).</p> </p> <p> <p>Trump responded to the Wall Street Journal by writing the Journal had “no idea what my thoughts are concerning Iran,” following a report suggesting Trump told senior aides he approved attack plans for Iran, but has held off to see whether Iran abandoned its nuclear program.</p> </p>Crucial Quote<p>“This has gone on for years, but [Fox News] never [changes] the incompetent polling company that does their work,” Trump wrote. “I hate FAKE pollsters, one of the worst, but Fox will never change their discredited pollster!”</p>What Has Donald Trump Said About Attacking Iran?<p>Trump has warned Iran against targeting U.S. personnel or assets, writing on Truth Social that “we’ll come down so hard, it’d be gloves off … I think they know not to touch our troops.” When asked if the U.S. was moving closer to striking Iranian nuclear facilities, Trump told reporters, “I may do it, I may not do it, I mean nobody knows what I’m going to do.” Trump has said he was “not looking for a long-term war,” noting, “I only want one thing: Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon.”</p>Key Background<p>Trump and his administration have targeted media organizations he views unfavorably. He has referred to pollsters from the New York Times, ABC News, the Washington Post and Fox News as “negative criminals” who should be “investigated for ELECTION FRAUD.” Meanwhile, the Trump administration has promoted right-wing voices in the White House press corps and previously restricted access for the Associated Press and other outlets to presidential events. Trump has also sought to dismantle federally funded media outlets, including NPR, PBS and the international broadcaster Voice of America, while challenging CBS for what he claimed was an edited “60 Minutes” interview with Harris in the lead-up to the presidential election. The Federal Trade Commission has launched investigations into the liberal advocacy group, Media Matters for America, over claims the organization deterred companies from advertising on Elon Musk’s X. The agency has also launched probes into PBS and NPR and whether they aired “announcements that cross the line into prohibited commercial advertisements.” NPR has challenged the probe and Trump’s threat to cut federal funding, writing a loss of funds would have a “devastating impact on American communities across the nation.”</p>Further ReadingForbesTrump’s War With The Media: House Votes To Cut $1.1 Billion In Corporation For Public Broadcasting Funding<small>By Sara Dorn</small><p></p> Trump Denies Report He Approved Iran Strikes, Blasts Fox News	查看 3702	福布斯	2025-01-01 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:24:51	word
3183639	无图 <p>On June 17, President Donald Trump issued a statement declaring that the United States knows the precise whereabouts of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, described him as “an easy target,” and noted that the United States would not “take him out (kill!)” — at least not for now. He coupled that assertion with a demand for Iran’s “unconditional surrender,” written in all caps.</p><p>This statement may appear rhetorical or performative, but its implications deserve serious scrutiny. In just a few sentences, the president introduced an unusual degree of personal threat into a longstanding geopolitical rivalry and raised questions about how US adversaries might interpret American intentions. Such language carries risks that cannot be dismissed as merely symbolic.</p><p>The dangers of public threats</p><p>The United States is not at war with Iran. While the relationship has been marked by hostility since the 1979 hostage crisis, it has remained — often uneasily — within the boundaries of diplomacy, proxy activity, and economic pressure. There has been no declaration of war, no Congressional authorization for the use of force against Iran as a state, and no framework under which a foreign head of state — particularly one with religious authority — would be considered a lawful target.</p><p>Since the 1970s, US policy has included a formal prohibition on assassination, most recently codified in Executive Order 12333. That prohibition was a response to a period of covert operations that many believe compromised US credibility and fueled long-term blowback. It remains a cornerstone of how the US differentiates itself from adversaries who routinely use extrajudicial violence as a tool of statecraft.</p><p>When a sitting president publicly threatens a foreign leader, it complicates that policy posture and introduces a degree of ambiguity that adversaries may view as intent. Even if not operationally actionable, the message could be interpreted by others, including regional actors, as indicative of future US conduct.</p><p>Some may reference the 2020 strike that killed Iranian Gen. Qassem Soleimani during Trump’s first term as a precedent. But Soleimani was a military commander operating in a conflict zone, and the strike was framed as a defensive action in response to credible threats to US personnel stationed in the region. That context differs significantly from a public statement threatening the supreme leader of Iran in peacetime, absent any imminent threat or declared conflict.</p><p>Escalation risks around Fordow</p><p>The recent rhetoric arrives at a particularly sensitive time, as speculation grows about a possible Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities — especially the heavily fortified site at Fordow, near Qom. Several former US officials have pointed out that only the United States possesses the technical capability to fully destroy Fordow with an airstrike and have suggested that Washington may ultimately be drawn into such an operation if it begins.</p><p>The strategic risks of this kind of strike remain significant. The capabilities of traditionally the most capable non-state member of Tehran’s so-called Axis of Resistance, Lebanese Hizballah, have been reduced; and its other regional proxies are also not as potent as in years past. But Iran retains cyber capabilities, missile forces, and asymmetric tools that could be deployed in response to an attack on its nuclear infrastructure or political leadership. These could include direct strikes on US forces in the region and other disruptive acts.</p><p>Whether or not a strike on Fordow achieves its tactical objective, its broader consequences could be destabilizing. It may eliminate the final disincentives Iran faces in moving toward nuclear breakout, particularly if regime survival is perceived to be at stake. In such a scenario, Tehran might conclude that deterrence — rather than restraint — is its only viable option.</p><p>Risks to American security</p><p>Beyond encouraging Iran to reassess its nuclear restraint, the aftermath of a US-backed strike could provoke retaliation through asymmetric means. These include:</p><p>Proxy attacks on US personnel or facilities in the region;</p><p>Cyber operations targeting US infrastructure;</p><p>Maritime disruption, particularly in the Strait of Hormuz; and</p><p>Conceivably, limited activity by Iranian-linked operatives inside the United States.</p><p>In recent years, the US government has disrupted several Iranian-sponsored plots, including planning for assassinations of former senior American officials and other US persons, involving individuals tied to the Iranian government. While none involved mass-casualty attacks, these networks, and those undertaken by proxies such as Hizballah, have carried out surveillance and targeting operations within the US homeland, including critical infrastructure, law enforcement facilities, and Jewish community centers, among other sensitive locations. The presence of Iranian assets in the US represents a latent risk — one that could be activated in the event of direct confrontation.</p><p>Even if no strike is ultimately carried out, President Trump’s statements alone may elevate threat perceptions among adversaries. When senior US officials use language that appears to signal intentions outside legal or diplomatic norms, it increases the risk of miscalculation — not just by Iran, but by other regional actors with their own agendas.</p><p>Alliance strain and strategic credibility</p><p>America’s influence depends not only on its military strength but also on the credibility of its commitments and the consistency of its signaling. European allies — already uneasy after Washington’s prior withdrawals from multilateral agreements — may now view the United States as less predictable or less committed to coordinated diplomacy. Regional partners like Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, which have recently sought to reduce tensions with Iran, could hesitate to align with the US if they believe escalation is imminent. And Israel, hearing implicit approval in the president’s language, may move on its own.</p><p>The result could be a further erosion of collective strategy, precisely when unity is most essential. Deterrence requires not just will but clarity. Allies and adversaries alike must believe that US statements reflect policy and that this policy is rooted in prudence — not provocation.</p><p>A moment for caution, not conflagration</p><p>Throughout its history, the United States has not threatened foreign leaders without legal justification, strategic purpose, or moral clarity. It has not demanded the unconditional surrender of countries with which it is not at war. And it should not place American lives at greater risk through rhetoric that amplifies uncertainty rather than resolving it.</p><p>Those of us who have served in national security roles understand that words, especially from the highest office, carry weight. The president’s recent statement may not signal a policy shift, but it has added further fuel to an already combustible situation.</p><p>In such a moment, restraint is not weakness — it is strategy.</p><p>Jonathan M. Winer is the former Special Envoy for Libya and Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for International Law Enforcement and a Distinguished Diplomatic Fellow at MEI.</p><p>Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images</p> <p>The Middle East Institute (MEI) is an independent, non-partisan, non-for-profit, educational organization. It does not engage in advocacy and its scholars’ opinions are their own. MEI welcomes financial donations, but retains sole editorial control over its work and its publications reflect only the authors’ views. For a listing of MEI donors, please click here.</p> On Iran, US restraint could reduce risks \| Middle East Institute	查看 7817	中东研究所	2025-06-18 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:23:24	word
3183638	无图 <p>As the war between Iran and Israel continued, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei delivered a speech on June 17, framing the conflict as an “imposed war” and calling for national unity. But instead of using this moment to explore diplomatic off-ramps, particularly as President Donald Trump signaled the possible direct participation of the United States in the war on the side of Israel, Khamenei opted for posturing over negotiation and left the Iranian people even more fearful about the future.</p><p>Responding to Trump’s call for “total surrender,” Khamenei warned that US military involvement in the conflict would be a “grave mistake,” stating, “Any US military entry will undoubtedly result in irreparable damage for them, greater than anything Iran would suffer.” He condemned Trump’s threats as “vulgar and irrational,” adding, “Only the ignorant speak to Iran in the language of threats. This nation is not one to surrender.”</p><p>Khamenei also said such rhetoric reflects US arrogance and Israeli weakness, noting, “The moment American allies enter the battlefield shows the Zionist [Israeli] regime’s vulnerability.” It is unlikely this approach serves Iran’s interests at a time when the country is under attack and millions of Iranians face mounting uncertainty.</p><p>Notably, Khamenei’s remarks included no mention of Islam, long the ideological centerpiece of his worldview. Instead, he appealed to Iranian nationalism, asking a population weary of endless confrontation with Israel and the US for their support. For a leader who spent 36 years insisting that the Islamist cause — fighting Israel on behalf of Palestinians — superseded Iran’s own national interest, this pivot is revealing and smacks of desperation.</p><p>In terms of rhetoric, rather than de-escalating, Khamenei’s speech doubled down. He made no reference to the possibility of direct talks with Trump, offered no pathway to a cease-fire, and rejected the idea of Iran “capitulating under pressure.” Instead, he mirrored Trump’s combative tone, engaging in a rhetorical exchange that risks deepening the crisis.</p><p>Losing on all fronts</p><p>The vast majority of Iranians never wanted this fight. But they now find themselves caught in the midst of a war that they neither started nor consented to. While Israel’s June 13 attacks lack justification under international law, Khamenei’s long-standing threats against Israel and the US have made it easy for Western governments to stand aside. In the West, even critics of Israel’s unilateral strikes have found little political space to defend Iran as the attacked party.</p><p>Khamenei is certainly aware this is not a traditional ground war. It is a high-tech conflict, fought from a distance of 1,100 kilometers, with aerial attacks, drones, cyberattacks, and artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted precision strikes at its core. Iran is operating in a domain where it holds no comparative advantage. The smart strategy now is to pull back and minimize additional damage.</p><p>This is further underscored by the fact that Iran-backed proxy groups have been inactive in the fighting — aside from the Houthis who have sent a few intercepted ballistic missiles toward Israel — and cannot do much for Iran, a clear sign that even Tehran’s broader regional network is not prepared for sustained escalation. It is time to recognize that Iran’s national interest now lies in de-escalation and development, not open-ended and costly confrontation.</p><p>Iran’s resources are severely limited compared to Israel’s US-backed capabilities. At the same time, the regime faces regional adversaries eager to exploit its vulnerability or even seek its territorial disintegration. After decades of internal and external strain that have depleted Iran’s strength, the country needs a strategic pause, not ideological escalation.</p><p>And yet, unless one side fully surrenders — a highly unlikely scenario — this war will end only through diplomacy. Iran must signal clear openness to talks, especially direct negotiations with the United States, or risk being seen as the obstacle to peace. Mediation through Qatar, Oman, or Russia may help, but only the US has the leverage to halt Israel’s offensive.</p><p>Time to back down</p><p>Calls to condemn Israel at the United Nations or in international courts may be symbolically meaningful, but they will do little to stop Israel. For Iran, real relief will come only through political negotiation and strategic concessions to Washington in the hope that the Americans can hold Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu back.</p><p>On paper, Khamenei’s speech confirmed that he remains committed to a fantasy of resistance rather than a strategy for survival. He speaks of staying the course and fighting, but it is others who will pay the price, just as they did in the 1980s, when he and his Islamist comrades dragged Iran into eight years of war that ended only after hundreds of thousands had died and the country was economically devastated.</p><p>Khamenei’s bluster is not leadership; it is strategic recklessness and putting basic pride over the long-term security of the Iranian nation. With innocent lives on both sides at risk, the moment demands moral clarity and political maturity. Khamenei must abandon concerns about optics and swiftly agree to direct negotiations. Every hour lost could bring the region closer to full-scale disaster.</p><p>Iran’s return to diplomacy should include two key offers: to give up or indefinitely suspend uranium enrichment on Iranian soil and to rethink its confrontational policies toward the US and Israel, the twin pillars of the Khamenei-dominated Iranian regional policy of the last few decades. Again, this is not about abandoning sovereignty; it is about ensuring survival. Khamenei’s ideological rigidity is what led Iran into this crisis. The longer the war drags on, the greater the risk of state collapse, and the more the lives and livelihoods of ordinary Iranians will be endangered.</p><p>The best outcome now would be that Khamenei’s speeches become less relevant going forward and more pragmatic voices within the regime begin to assert themselves. There are reports that an Iranian delegation has already landed in Oman, seeking ways to talk to the United States about ending the hostilities. If they do, and if they reach Trump and his advisors quickly, there is still a chance for a cease-fire and a diplomatic reset. But time is running out, and the next misstep could be irreversible.</p><p>Alex Vatanka is a Senior Fellow at MEI.</p><p>Photo by Firdous Nazir/NurPhoto via Getty Images</p> <p>The Middle East Institute (MEI) is an independent, non-partisan, non-for-profit, educational organization. It does not engage in advocacy and its scholars’ opinions are their own. MEI welcomes financial donations, but retains sole editorial control over its work and its publications reflect only the authors’ views. For a listing of MEI donors, please click here.</p> Khamenei postures and blinks at the same time \| Middle East Institute	查看 7022	中东研究所	2025-06-18 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:23:24	word
3183637	无图 <p>The Arizona Court of Appeals handed property owners a crucial victory weeks ago in a ruling against Tucson’s policies of allowing homeless encampments on city-owned property. Following a decision against the city of Phoenix last year, the judges held that when Tucson officials refused to enforce anti-camping ordinances, and effectively encouraged law-breaking in areas that harmed neighboring property owners, they created a “nuisance” and can be held liable in court. The ruling sets a critical precedent not just in Tucson, but throughout Arizona, particularly given the state’s newly adopted Prop. 312, which protects landowners against cities’ willful refusal to enforce the law.</p> <p>The story begins in 2024, when Arizona judges held that Phoenix created a nuisance by operating the nation’s largest homeless encampment on a region of downtown streets known as “The Zone.” Phoenix officials not only allowed over 1,000 people to live in tents on streets and sidewalks in The Zone—thus ruining local businesses and creating dangerous and unsanitary conditions for both residents and the homeless—but effectively declared that the law would not be enforced there. The result was an upsurge in crime, including arson and murder. A group of residents went to court, arguing that the city was operating a nuisance (a legal term that means an activity that substantially interferes with other people’s property), and won.</p> <p>Shortly afterwards, Tucson residents filed suit against that city, which since 2019 had allowed the homeless population to live in tents in public parks and an area known as Navajo Wash. This tent city included makeshift toilets, open fires, and a rash of criminal behavior, including violent crime—all harming neighboring landowners.</p> <p>The Tucson case differed from the Phoenix case in some important respects, however. For one thing, the city claimed that, unlike Phoenix, it was not actively encouraging people to live in Navajo Wash. Instead, it adopted what it called a “three tier” system for homeless encampments. “Low-priority encampments” were allowed to remain, with the city providing trash cleanup, whereas “high problem” encampments were required to vacate within 72 hours of a city notice. This, Tucson claimed, proved that it wasn’t actively fostering the encampments as Phoenix had done. A trial judge agreed, holding that the city could not be held liable for the nuisance.</p> <p>But in a unanimous ruling on May 25, the Arizona Court of Appeals reversed that decision. Under state law, it said, a nuisance is “anything injurious to health, indecent, offensive to the senses or an obstruction to the free use of property that interferes with the comfortable enjoyment of life or property by an entire community or neighborhood,” and the Navajo Wash encampments clearly qualified. And the “three tier” system only proved that Tucson “consent[ed] to camping in the Navajo Wash…. It allows the homeless population to continue to return to the Navajo Wash after each abatement and clean-up…. Because the City knew the activity of homeless camping in this location was being carried on and … repeatedly and continually caused a nuisance, yet consented to it anyway,” it could be held liable under Arizona’s anti-nuisance laws.</p> <p>That ruling is welcome news to the hardworking taxpayers of Tucson, who are the real victims of the city’s refusal to enforce the law. Arizona home- and business owners pay taxes in exchange for police protection and other public services. When they’re denied those protections, they are not only being deprived of their earnings unjustly, but they’re being effectively double-taxed, because they have to take steps on their own to protect themselves and their property against the dangerous and unsanitary consequences of homeless encampments.</p> <p>That’s why Arizona voters last year adopted Prop. 312, which provides that landowners who are forced to shoulder the cost of defending themselves against nuisance activities such as encampments—by, for example, installing bars on their windows, or hiring security guards for their businesses—are entitled to a refund for those expenses. What’s more, Prop. 312, ensures that the offending municipalities are not allowed to collect money for public health and safety services which they then choose not to provide. In short, if the government’s not going to protect people, it shouldn’t be allowed to keep their tax money.</p> <p>The Tucson ruling makes clear that even when a city’s dereliction of duty doesn’t rise to the same extreme as the Phoenix Zone case, Prop. 312’s rule can still apply. And, in fact, the first Prop. 312 claims have already been filed by some Tucson residents.</p> <p>There’s no doubt that the homeless problem is complicated, and that it needs to be dealt with humanely. But the “solution” adopted by Progressive cities in the past few years—of simply leaving people on the streets—is neither compassionate for the homeless themselves, nor fair to the hardworking residents of our cities, whose property is damaged, whose personal safety is threatened, and whose tax dollars are wasted by the refusal to enforce the law.</p> <p>Arizonans interested in filing a Prop. 312 claim due to their local government’s refusal to enforce nuisance laws can learn more at the Department of Revenue’s website. And if you want to learn more about how to bring Prop. 312 to your state, you can read about it here.</p> <p>Timothy Sandefur is Vice President for Legal Affairs at the Goldwater Institute’s Scharf-Norton Center for Constitutional Litigation.</p> Arizona Court Makes Clear: Cities Cannot Pass the Buck on Homeless Encampments	查看 5609	戈德华特研究所	2025-06-18 00:00:00 2025-06-19 23:22:42	word
3183636	无图 <p>외교부는 유엔개발계획(United Nations Development Programme, UNDP) 인간개발보고서국 및 서울정책센터와 함께 6.19.(목) 오전 서울에서 2025 인간개발보고서 국내 발간행사를 개최했다.</p><p>※ 지난 5월 벨기에 브뤼셀에서 인간개발보고서가 발표된 데 이어 국내 발간행사 개최</p><p>UNDP가 1990년 이래 정기적으로 발간하고 있는 인간개발보고서는 각국의 △1인당 국민총소득(GNI), △기대수명, △교육 기간 등을 종합적으로 분석하여 산출한 인간개발지수(Human Development Index)를 제시해오고 있다. 이는 개발에 대한 관점을 경제성장 중심에서 인간중심의 사회개발로 전환시키는 데 큰 역할을 한 것으로 평가받고 있다. 금번 보고서에서 발표된 2023년 기준 우리나라의 인간개발지수는 0.937로, 193개국 중 20위를 기록했다.</p><p>※ 아이슬란드 0.972(1위), 노르웨이‧스위스 0.970(공동 2위), 호주 0.958(7위), 뉴질랜드‧리히텐슈타인‧미국 0.938(공동 17위), 일본 0.925(23위), 프랑스 0.920(26위) 등 </p><p>금번 보고서는 2024년 글로벌 인간개발지수의 증가율이 보고서 발간 이래 사상 최저수준으로 크게 둔화하고 선진국과 개도국 간 격차가 더욱 심화될 것으로 전망했다. 특히 동 보고서는 “우리의 선택 : 인공지능(AI) 시대의 인간과 가능성(A Matter of Choice : People and Possibilities in the Age of AI)”을 주제로 발표되었으며, 이를 통해 AI 기술이 포용적 발전에 기여할 수 있도록 적극적인 정책적 노력이 필요함을 강조했다.</p><p>박종한 개발협력국장은 개회사를 통해 글로벌 개발 환경이 다양한 도전 과제에 직면한 가운데, AI 기술이 개발격차를 더욱 심화시키지 않도록 하기 위해서는 양질의 교육에 대한 투자가 핵심임을 강조하였으며, 한국은 기술 교육 분야에서 적극적인 개발협력 사업을 추진하고 있음을 소개하였다.</p><p>인간개발보고서 대표 저자인 페드로 콘세이상(Pedro Conceição) UNDP 인간개발보고서국장은 이번 보고서의 주요 결과를 발표하면서, AI가 인간 발전을 위한 강력한 도구가 될 수 있으나 그것이 어떤 미래를 가져올지는 결국 우리의 선택에 달려있다고 강조하였다.</p><p>이번 행사에는 주한 외교단, 국제기구, 공공기관, 학계 및 민간 등 다양한 분야의 인사들이 참석한 가운데 AI 시대의 인간개발 방향성 등 2025 인간개발보고서 주요 내용에 대한 심도있는 논의가 진행되었다.</p><p>우리 정부는 개발협력 분야 중점협력기구인 UNDP와의 협력 강화 노력의 일환으로 2019년부터 인간개발보고서 발간을 지원해 왔으며, 앞으로도 한-UNDP 전략적 협력관계를 강화해 나갈 것이다.</p><p>붙임 : 상기 행사 사진. 끝.</p> 「2025 UNDP 인간개발보고서 국내 발간행사」 공동개최 상세보기\|보도자료 \| 외교부	查看 1426	外交部	2025-06-19 08:00:00 2025-06-19 23:12:04	word
3183635	无图 <p> 이란 체류 우리 국민과 가족 20명은 우리 정부가 제공한 교통편을 통해 육로로 현지 시각 6.18.(수) 늦은 밤(한국 시각 6.19. 새벽) 투르크메니스탄에 무사히 도착했습니다.</p><p>* 우리 국민 18명 및 이란 국적 가족 2명</p><p>정부의 이번 대피 지원은 이스라엘과 이란 간 무력공방 지속 등에 따른 이란의 영공 폐쇄로 민항편 등 가용한 이동 수단이 없어 이란 출국이 어려운 상황에서 재외국민보호를 위한 선제적 대응 조치의 일환으로 신속히 이뤄졌습니다.</p><p> 이란 현지 시각 기준 6.17.(화) 오전 테헤란을 출발한 우리 국민과 가족은 주이란대사관 직원들의 동행 하에 6.18.(수) 이란-투르크메니스탄 국경검문소에 안전하게 도착했습니다. 대피한 우리 국민과 가족들은 우리 정부가 제공한 교통편으로 투르크메니스탄 국경에서 투르크메니스탄 수도 아시가바트로 이동했습니다.</p><p>외교부는 우리 국민의 안전한 대피를 지원하기 위해 본부에서 신속대응팀(단장 : 해외안전상황실장)을 투르크메니스탄으로 파견하였으며, 주투르크메니스탄 대사관과 함께 우리 국민과 가족에게 현지 숙박 및 귀국 항공편 안내 등 필요한 영사조력을 제공하고, 후속 조치도 지속 강구해 나갈 예정입니다.</p><p>이스라엘 및 이란에 체류중인 우리 국민들은 해당 국가의 여행경보가 6.17.(화)부로 3단계(출국권고)로 격상된 점을 고려하여, 신변안전에 각별히 유의하면서 대사관의 안내에 따라 신속히 출국해 주실 것을 강력히 당부드립니다. 또한, 동 지역을 여행하고자 하는 우리 국민들께서는 여행을 취소 또는 연기하여 주시기 바랍니다.</p><p>붙임 : 관련 사진. 끝.</p><p>사진 캡션: 집결지에서 정부 제공 버스를 타는 우리 국민과 가족(이란 테헤란)</p> 최근 중동 상황 관련 이란 체류 재외국민 대피 지원 상세보기\|보도자료 \| 외교부	查看 877	外交部	2025-06-19 08:00:00 2025-06-19 23:12:04	word
3183634	无图 <p>1. 주일본대한민국대사관 주최 ‘한일 국교정상화 60주년 기념 리셉션’이 6.19.(목) 17:00-19:30 도쿄 뉴오타니호텔에서 다수의 한일 저명인사를 포함한 약 1,000여명이 참석한 가운데 성황리에 개최되었다.</p><p>o 일측에서는 이시바 시게루 총리, 누카가 후쿠시로 중의원 의장, 기시다 후미오 전 총리, 스가 요시히데 전 총리, 하야시 요시마사 관방장관, 이와야 다케시 외무대신, 나카타니 겐 방위대신, 가토 가쓰노부 재무대신, 아베 도시코 문부과학대신, 아사오 게이치로 환경대신, 가미카와 요코 전 외무대신, 고노 다로 전 외무대신, 후나코시 다케히로 외무성 사무차관, 각 당 대표, 국회의원(약 100명), 재계·학계·문화예술계, 친선단체 등 주요 인사 다수 참석</p><p> ※ 현직 총리, 관방장관, 외무대신 등 내각 고위 핵심 인사들이 동시에 동일한 행사에 참석한 것은 매우 이례적</p><p> ※ 하토야마 유키오 전 총리는 리셉션 직전 행사장을 방문하여 박철희 주일대사와 면담 후 이석</p><p>o 한국측에서는 주호영 한일 의원연맹회장, 민홍철 한일 의원연맹 간사장을 비롯한 국회의원 10여명, 김태환 한일 친선협회중앙회장, 이대순 한일 협력위원회 위원장, 류진 한국경제인협회 회장 및 우리 동포와 기업인 등 참석</p><p> 상기 외, 김석기, 윤재옥, 박대출, 이재정, 김영배, 배현진, 서삼석, 김주영, 박정훈, 임미애, 안상훈 국회의원 등 참석</p><p>2. 박철희 대사는 인사말에서 한일 간 인적교류·교역 규모를 1965년 수교 당시와 비교해 볼 때 지난 60년의 한일관계의 역사는 성장, 성취, 성공의 역사라고 하고, △역대 지도자들과 선배들의 지혜를 잘 기억하고 그들의 노력에 감사하는 마음, △현재의 우호적인 한일관계를 더욱 발전시키고 지속가능한 것으로 만들기 위한 노력, △양국의 차세대 주역들에게 희망찬 한일관계의 미래를 넘겨주기 위한 책임 등을 강조하였다.</p><p>3. 이시바 총리는 축사에서 한일 양국간 여러 국면이 있었으나 항상 폭넓은 교류가 꾸준히 이루어져 왔다고 하고, 60년간의 관계는 양국 국민에 의해 지탱되어 왔다고 하였다.</p><p>o 또한, 정부간 관계도 그동안 구축되어 온 기반을 바탕으로 더욱 안정적으로 발전할 수 있도록 서로 긴밀히 소통을 지속해 나가자고 하고, 양국을 둘러싼 전략적 환경이 엄중함을 더해갈수록 서로가 손잡고 더 좋은 미래를 향해 나아가자고 강조하였다.</p><p>4. 한편, 금번 리셉션에서는 한국 농수산식품, 관광, 소비재 등 전시·시식·체험을 위한 홍보부스를 운영하고, 한국 전기자동차를 전시하는 한편, △한일 간 대중문화 교류 확대에 기여하고 있는 한일의 아티스트, △한일 고등학생 등이 공연에 출연하여 행사장 분위기를 한층 더 고조시켰다.</p><p>※ 리셉션 식순</p><p>- 개회 → 주최자 인사(박철희 주일대사) → 내빈축사(이시바 시게루 총리, 주호영 한일의원연맹 회장, 스가 요시히데 일한의원연맹 회장, 누카가 후쿠시로 중의원 의장) → 건배사(기시다 후미오 전 총리) → 기념촬영</p><p>- 김재중(K-POP 스타) 인사, 한일 고등학생(동경한국학교 및 세이죠고등학교), 우타고코로 리에 공연, 한일 전통악기 공연</p><p>- 환담 및 스탠딩 뷔페</p><p>5. △한일 정상간 통화(6.9.), △G7 정상회의 계기 신정부 출범 이후 첫 한일 정상회담(6.17.), △주한일본대사관 주최 국교정상화 60주년 기념 리셉션(6.16.)에 이어 개최된 금번 리셉션은 한일관계 발전을 위한 한일 양국의 변함없는 의지를 발신하는 계기가 된 것으로 평가된다.</p><p>6. 주일한국대사관은 앞으로도 한일 국교정상화 60주년을 기념하기 위한 다채로운 행사 개최 등을 통해 흔들리지 않는 한일관계 구축을 위한 노력을 지속해 나갈 예정이다. 끝.</p> 한일 국교정상화 60주년 기념 리셉션 개최 상세보기\|보도자료 \| 외교부	查看 1887	外交部	2025-06-19 08:00:00 2025-06-19 23:12:04	word

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